Connect with us

2010 cheat sheet

Red Fevolution: 2010 Round 1 projections v1 (2/4)

R1 team projections v1 (2/4)

Brisbane’s Brendan Fevola is one of many new Paddlepops eager to front up in maroon colours.

Brisbane Lions Training Session

I am breaking this first edition of the team projections up into four posts, because they’re taking me a looooong time to compile. I am including injury and suspension and retirement lists for each team as usual. Keep in mind that these are all projected for round 1, so that some who are currently injured are not labeled as such because I expect them to recover in time.

FB: Jared Rivers, Matthew Warnock, Cameron Bruce
HB: Joel Macdonald, James Frawley, Aaron Davey
C: Jack Trengove, Brent Moloney, Jack Grimes
HF: Brad Green, Matthew Bate, Colin Sylvia
FF: Liam Jurrah, Brad Miller, Addam Maric
Fol: Mark Jamar, James McDonald, Cale Morton
Int: Stefan Martin, Colin Garland, Nathan Jones, Ricky Petterd
Iffy: Maric, Petterd, Miller, Trengove
Waiting: Tom Scully, Clint Bartram, Jamie Bennell, Kyle Cheney
Injured: Austin Wonaeamirri, Jack Watts, Sam Blease

This is a fairly conservative projection. Dean Bailey just got a two-year contract extension, so he may be feeling more adventurous than this 22 suggests. I have only put one draftee in there, as Trengove has taken the eye of everyone who has watched training so far. You would think if there’s only one spot available, the Melbourne hierarchy would err on the side of caution with Scully given his fractured patella last September.

This time last year some noted pundits had Paul Johnson in their plan teams, and some even had them starting in round 1 with the expectation of a break-out year. He was a damp squib. The Dee fans have certainly gone off him, and prefer the flexibility of Martin behind Jamar. The debate may be moot for round 1 due to injury concerns over Johnson, but this looks like being a positional battle that is of no consequence to fantasy coaches in any event.

Demon fans are also of the opinion that a number of players who may start in round 1 will have been gently superannuated by the time round 22 comes around. Miller and McDonald are two names that keep getting mentioned here, with Watts and Scully murmured as long-term replacements. This may be the case, but we’re talking here about round 1 and neither youngster will be pressured before they’re ready.

FB: Campbell Brown, Stephen Gilham, Brent Guerra
HB: Luke Hodge, Ryan Schoenmakers, Grant Birchall
C: Liam Shiels, Sam Mitchell, Xavier Ellis
HF: Michael Osborne, Beau Dowler, Jordan Lewis
FF: Rhan Hooper, Jarryd Roughead, Cyril Rioli
Fol: Simon Taylor, Brad Sewell, Shaun Burgoyne
Int: Brent Renouf, Josh Gibson, Beau Muston, Rick Ladson
Iffy: Ladson, Hooper, Ellis, Muston
Waiting: Clinton Young, Brendan Whitecross, Jarrod Kayler-Thomson, Thomas Murphy
Injured: Max Bailey, Cameron Stokes
Suspended: Lance Franklin, Chance Bateman
Retired: Trent Croad

Plenty of Hawks who got lots of games in 2009 are going to miss out in 2010, providing the club has a better run with injury. This means the likes of Travis Tuck, Garry Moss, Jarryd Morton and Matt Suckling don’t even appear on this list. If training reports are anything to go by, however, there may still be a smokie on the horizon for Hawthorn watchers in the form of mature-age rookie Kayler-Thomson, the 24-year-old midfielder from WAFL side Perth.

I am projecting Young as not developing the required fitness by round 1 after chronic hip problems plus osteitis pubis. Rumours about his long-term demise keep circulating. I’m not supporting them, suffice to say he’ll be eased into the season. Similarly, Whitecross might not make up the fitness gap on his rivals after his hip surgery.

I have included Hooper here but I’m not convinced about the Hawthorn forward structure. Dowler as third forward will be a downgrade from the departed Mark Williams, while you’d expect either Osborne or Ladson to play defensive forward roles at different parts of games. Rioli is expected by many to push into midfield a lot more, which leaves the Hawks without much in the way of crumbing skills at the feet of Roughie and Buddy. Hooper’s demeanour and apparent fitness level at training suggests that he still has a way to go before he reaches the standard that Alistair Clarkson would want. This will make Clarkson’s decision on which rookies to promote in place of Croad and Bailey interesting. Wayde Skipper is not doing much in the pre-season, but the Hawks may have to bite the bullet given their low ruck stocks. The aforementioned JKT is looking like a strong candidate, which leaves Moss as a dark horse.

FB: James Hawksley, Daniel Merrett, Joel Patfull
HB: Ashley McGrath, Matt Maguire, Josh Drummond
C: James Polkinghorne, Daniel Rich, Jed Adcock
HF: Jared Brennan, Jonathan Brown, Justin Sherman
FF: Travis Johnstone, Brendan Fevola, Amon Buchanan
Fol: Mitch Clark, Simon Black, Luke Power
Int: Matthew Leuenberger, Cheynee Stiller, Michael Rischitelli, Brent Staker
Iffy: Stiller, Hawksley, Maguire, Staker
Waiting: Jamie Charman, Andrew Raines, Tom Collier, Jack Redden
Injured: Xavier Clarke, Callum Bartlett, Troy Selwood

This side has been remade by coach Michael Voss, so it’s one of the hardest to judge for round 1 prospects. Will Staker, Buchanan and Maguire join Fevola as debutantes for their new club all at once? Along with Raines, all but Fevola of these newcomers could be said to be fringe players, depending on how you rate the rest of the Lions list. Maguire’s fitness will be his main concern, with early signs being solid. Buchanan only played more than 18 games twice in nine seasons with Sydney. Staker was fringe at the Eagles, whose list is inferior to Brisbane’s at the moment. All will get their chance nonetheless.

The recruitment of these journeymen means a bunch of young Lions may fall by the wayside. Collier, Cornelius, Pearce Hanley, Todd Banfield, Sam Sheldon, Tom Rockliff and Albert Proud all have much harder times getting into the Brisbane seniors after Voss’s offseason trade drive. Fantasy coaches might have to wait until injury strikes for these players, some of who show great promise for fantasy, to get consistent selection.

West Coast
FB: Mark Nicoski, Darren Glass, Eric MacKenzie
HB: Beau Waters, Mitchell Brown, Shannon Hurn
C: Bradd Dalziell, Daniel Kerr, Brad Ebert
HF: Tom Swift, Josh J. Kennedy, Sam Butler
FF: Ben McKinley, Quinten Lynch, Mark LeCras
Fol: Dean Cox, Matt Priddis, Chris Masten
Int: Nick Naitanui, Andrew Embley, Matt Rosa, Adam Selwood
Iffy: Rosa, Butler, McKinley, Dalziell
Waiting: Tim Houlihan, Brad Sheppard, Matt Spangher, Luke Shuey

Fantasy coaches have had problems in recent years with John Worsfold and his faith in players that took him to the last Eagles premiership. Their numbers are dwindling now, with David Wirrpanda, Tyson Stenglein and Chad Fletcher gone this offseason, but the likes of Brett Jones and Ashley Hansen remain, clogging up the list where many fantasy coaches (and Eagle fans) would like to see younger bodies.

Exactly where Dalziell fits into the pecking order is still somewhat of a mystery. He is competing with Masten for the fastest on the track at the club, which is a good sign for both players. Swift’s spot could easily be taken by Shuey or Sheppard, but Worsfold’s history is that he probably won’t find room for more than one or two of them, at least before injuries start hitting. Then again, with Kerr and Waters in the side there’s every chance of setbacks before a ball is bounced.

I have put Swift and Butler in as half forward flankers but neither is a specialist at the position, which is why LeCras is named at a forward pocket instead of the midfield as was being mooted earlier in the preseason. At some point in December, Woosha remembered to have a look at his list and discovered that he didn’t have any small forwards at the club other than LeCras, and so he has admitted in public that there’s no point continuing the charade that LeCras would be put anywhere else. One would imagine that a part of the training drills in the months leading up to round 1 will be trying to manufacture a crumbing and/or defensive forward out of at least one of the kids.



  1. ado88

    January 16, 2010 at 10:29 pm

    Hey Monty, you got Rich in the centre and as rover.

    Great work love your stuff

  2. wceagles

    January 16, 2010 at 10:34 pm

    Pretty sure Tapscott will be playing come round 1.

  3. bobbyb4130

    January 16, 2010 at 10:38 pm

    stenglein nolonger plays for westcoast

  4. #2LeCras

    January 16, 2010 at 10:42 pm

    stenglein has retired. the only reason he remained on the list post-ND was for financial reasons and so the eagles could have a pick in the PSD after delisting him post-ND.

  5. migman19

    January 16, 2010 at 11:04 pm

  6. m0nty

    January 17, 2010 at 12:24 am

    Whoops thanks guys, fixed now.

  7. migman19

    January 17, 2010 at 3:56 am

    I think Dalziell is competing more with Houlihan than Masten, Houlihan dominates the time trials and endurance sessions but Dalziell has taken some of his glory recently with a club record 16 on the beep test.

  8. chadwick

    January 17, 2010 at 10:38 am

    JKT is an interesting one to keep an eye on. Would have to worry about job security but i guess that is true with most rookies.

  9. TheFevShow

    January 17, 2010 at 11:16 am

    RE: Brisbane

    Add in Luke Power there, as well as Charman instead of Leuey and pop in Redden & Sheldon in for Collier & Stiller.

    Also, Rich may be the Hodge style quarterback for the Lions in 2010 as it seems he has some type of injury that has prevented him from many of the sessions.

    PS* Wacth out for Banfield 😉

  10. m0nty

    January 17, 2010 at 11:29 am

    FevShow, thanks for the heads up on Power, how did I forget him? I’m tipping Leuey beats Charman in their battle. I’m including Collier because I think Maguire is going to need to be rested a fair bit after getting run about on the WACA, so they’ll need some chop out from the bench, plus the fact that the Eagles forward line has a lot of talls. Stiller is actually a good tagger, so he’s got a role to play which he’s better at than SHeldon at this stage.

  11. vitch01

    January 17, 2010 at 8:41 pm

    monty, you have selected jack trengove on a wing, although you have him as a forward only on fan planner, i hope he is available in mid field as he would fit well into my team there

  12. bradway

    January 17, 2010 at 8:44 pm

    Take out Muston put in Sheils.
    Muston could not hit the side of a barn, and a really big barn, by foot at the moment.
    I just dont see Burgoyne being ready to go round one, so add JKT instead.
    Ladson is NOT iffy.
    Add Stratton to the top of the waiting list, he will be pushing Schoenmakers for the CHB spot, he is mature aged, stronger body and may prove a better option against Fev, Brown, Voldt etc.

  13. bradway

    January 17, 2010 at 9:13 pm

    You can add Chance Bateman to the suspended list for Hawthorn as well.

  14. m0nty

    January 18, 2010 at 12:30 am

    Ah, good get on Changa, bradway.

    The iffy list should really be thought of as “Players 19-22”, because I’m effectively ranking them that way.

  15. Kick2Kick

    January 18, 2010 at 3:29 pm

    WCE will at least add one of the small forwards they drafted to that 22. Weedon (spelling) will most likely be the first choice imo.

  16. tom_scully

    January 19, 2010 at 11:46 am

    i agree with wceagles, tapscott is melbournes no 1 rook this year


    January 20, 2010 at 10:56 am

    who is tapscott lol weagles must be a closet melb supporter and knows something we dont

  18. st_steve

    January 21, 2010 at 10:53 am

    I reckon Tapscott will play round one for Melbourne. He’s a gun.

    You don’t think Scott Selwood will line-up round one for the Weagles?

  19. spud85

    January 29, 2010 at 5:36 pm

    I’m contemplating shoenmakers as a bench player if indeed he is listed as back AND forward. While 197k is by no means basement price and playing a negating role on most likely a teams #2 forward he may be unlikely to score greatly, baring injury he’s likely to play every single match now that croad is gone so he’d be pretty consistent cover.

    That said, alternatives such as phil davis could be better as they are cheaper and have the same multipositioning benefit

  20. Pingback: The Coaches Box - AFL DreamTeam/SuperCoach Podcast | CB AFL Dream Team and Super Coach Podcast #82: Preseason 2010

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

More in 2010 cheat sheet