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Team projections for Round 1 2009 AFL season, version 4.0

R1 team projections, v4

I’ll be revisiting this list every Thursday until the start of the season.

FB: Jordan McMahon, Will Thursfield, Kelvin Moore
HB: Chris Newman, Luke McGuane, Andrew Raines
C: Matthew Richardson, Shane Tuck, Daniel Jackson
HF: Joel Bowden, Cleve Hughes, Brett Deledio
FF: Mitch Morton, Jack Riewoldt, Nathan G. Brown
Fol: Troy Simmonds, Kane Johnson, Nathan Foley
Int: Adam Pattison, Richard Tambling, Matt White, Shane Edwards

In: Raines, Tambling
Out: Jay Schulz, Trent Cotchin
Iffy: Jackson, Tambling, White, Edwards
Waiting: Adam Thomson, Jake King, Ben Cousins, Schulz

No no no, I am still not putting Cuz in. The Richmond Football Club did not draft Ben Cousins just to drag him over the white line in Round 1 and then watch him pull a hammy in the second quarter. He’s there to support their run to the finals in the second half of the season. 20,000 extra punters on the opening Thursday is worth far less than the 20,000 extra they will get every game if they are top 4 in August. Meanwhile, Schulz looked awful on Subiaco, while Raines looked dazzling and Tambling did enough.

FB: Chris A. Johnson, Michael Jamison, Bret Thornton
HB: Paul Bower, Jarrad Waite, Heath Scotland
C: Adam Bentick, Chris Judd, Kade Simpson
HF: Ryan Houlihan, Matthew Kreuzer, Andrew Walker
FF: Eddie Betts, Brendan Fevola, Chris Yarran
Fol: Cameron Cloke, Bryce Gibbs, Marc Murphy
Int: Shaun Hampson, Richard Hadley, Shaun Grigg, Mitch Robinson

In: nil
Out: nil
Iffy: Scotland, Bentick, Grigg, Johnson
Waiting: Jordan Russell, Jordan Bannister, Jake Edwards, Joe Anderson

It’s about time there was a quiet news week down at Cardboard Park!

FB: Brent Guerra, Stephen Gilham, Thomas Murphy
HB: Luke Hodge, Campbell Brown, Grant Birchall
C: Jordan Lewis, Sam Mitchell, Clinton Young
HF: Cyril Rioli, Lance Franklin, Stuart Dew
FF: Mark Williams, Jarryd Roughead, Michael Osborne
Fol: Robert Campbell, Brad Sewell, Chance Bateman
Int: Simon Taylor, Mitch Thorp, Travis Tuck, Ben McGlynn

In: nil
Out: nil
Iffy: Campbell, Hodge, Lewis, McGlynn
Waiting: Brent Renouf, Jarryd Morton, Josh P. Kennedy, Cameron Stokes

Another week of not much coming out of the Hawthorn camp. The only change here is the poor prognosis on Lewis by, which claims he won’t play until round 3 – though they don’t list the known injuries to Ellis, Hodge and Campbell, amongst others, so I am not treating it as gospel.

FB: Josh Hunt, Matthew Scarlett, Harry Taylor
HB: Darren Milburn, Andrew Mackie, Joel Corey
C: Corey Enright, Joel Selwood, Jimmy Bartel
HF: Steve Johnson, Cameron Mooney, Paul Chapman
FF: Ryan Gamble, Tom Lonergan, Mathew Stokes
Fol: Brad Ottens, Gary Ablett jnr, Cameron Ling
Int: Mark Blake, Simon Hogan, David Wojcinski, Max Rooke

In: nil
Out: nil
Iffy: Hogan, Gamble, Wojcinski, Milburn
Waiting: James Kelly, Shannon Byrnes, Tom Hawkins, Dan McKenna

The only change here is positional, with Corey shifted to a half back flank and Enright to a wing, with Ling in the rover slot. Not that it means a lot in today’s footy.

FB: Heath Shaw, Nathan J. Brown, Tyson Goldsack
HB: Marty Clarke, Ben Reid, Harry O’Brien
C: Alan Didak, Scott Pendlebury, Tarkyn Lockyer
HF: Leon Davis, Travis Cloke, Dale Thomas
FF: Sean Rusling, John Anthony, Anthony Corrie
Fol: Josh Fraser, Shane O’Bree, Dane Swan
Int: Cameron Wood, Sharrod Wellingham, Shannon Cox, Ben Johnson

In: Cox
Out: Nick Maxwell
Iffy: Anthony, Wellingham, Cox, Corrie
Waiting: Anthony Rocca, Paul Medhurst, Dayne Beams, Simon Prestigiacomo

The suspension of Maxwell solidifies Reid’s claims as one of the three defensive talls, but with Adelaide likely to emphasise height in its forward line there’s every chance Presti could come in to do a job, like the one he did on Kurt Tippett in the final last year on one leg. In favour of the two younger KP backs Reid and Cox is the fact that the forwards they would be matching up on would also be young, particularly if Walker is named.

FB: Graham Johncock, Ben Rutten, Scott Stevens
HB: Andrew McLeod, Nathan Bock, Brad Moran
C: David Mackay, Scott Thompson, Chris Knights
HF: Simon Goodwin, Nick Gill, Richard Douglas
FF: Tyson Edwards, Kurt Tippett, Jason Porplyzia
Fol: Ivan Maric, Nathan Van Berlo, Brent Reilly
Int: Jonathon Griffin, Michael Doughty, Robert Shirley, Bernie Vince

In: Moran
Out: Aaron Kite
Iffy: Rutten, Van Berlo, Gill, Griffin
Waiting: Taylor Walker, Aaron Kite, Jared Petrenko, Patrick Dangerfield

Just quietly, the Adelaide injury curse is starting early this year, with Rutten and Van Berlo adding month-long pre-season injuries to that of Brad Symes. In other years we could conceivably have blamed the hard track regimen of Neil Craig but this year’s it’s just bad luck. With Maric unassailed as #1 ruckman the #2 spot is still up for grabs, with Griffin fighting with a pinch-hitting combination of Moran and Tippett to allow an extra midfielder. No, Walker is still not in the side, but if Collingwood look like they’re not going to have three good tall backs then his odds firm considerably.

FB: Lachie Henderson, Daniel Merrett, Joel Macdonald
HB: Josh Drummond, Joel Patfull, Jed Adcock
C: Tim Notting, Bradd Dalziell, Travis Johnstone
HF: Luke Power, Jonathan Brown, Jared Brennan
FF: Mitch Clark, Daniel Bradshaw, Rhan Hooper
Fol: Matthew Leuenberger, Simon Black, Michael Rischitelli
Int: Jamie Charman, Ashley McGrath, Troy Selwood, Daniel Rich

In: Clark
Out: Tom Collier
Iffy: Charman, Leuenberger, McGrath, Selwood
Waiting: Collier, Albert Proud, Jason Roe, Cheynee Stiler

Leigh Matthews never rated ruckmen very highly – a legacy of playing next to Don Scott for years, no doubt – but even he would have had second thoughts about the situation that faces Michael Voss now: all five of the Lions ruckmen are currently injured. Brennan can not carry the ruck like he did on Saturday. Clark showed enough that he is now favourite for the #3 forward tall, with possibly some ruck duties as well. Brisbane still won the clearances despite losing the ruck taps 61-12, so maybe Lethal has a point!

West Coast
FB: Brett Jones, Darren Glass, Mark Nicoski
HB: Shannon Hurn, Beau Wilkes, Adam Selwood
C: Andrew Embley, Daniel Kerr, Chris Masten
HF: David Wirrpanda, Mitchell Brown, Ashley Hansen
FF: Ben McKinley, Quinten Lynch, Mark LeCras
Fol: Dean Cox, Matt Priddis, Tyson Stenglein
Int: Mark Seaby, Brad Ebert, Chad Fletcher, Brent Staker

In: nil
Out: nil
Iffy: Wilkes, Hansen, Stenglein, Staker
Waiting: Josh J. Kennedy, Jamie McNamara, Matt Rosa, Matthew Spangher

A week of licking wounds down at Subi.

St Kilda
FB: Matt Maguire, Max Hudghton, Farren Ray
HB: Raphael Clarke, Sam Fisher, Brendon Goddard
C: Jason Gram, Lenny Hayes, Leigh Montagna
HF: Jason Blake, Nick Riewoldt, Sam Gilbert
FF: Stephen Milne, Justin Koschitzke, Adam Schneider
Fol: Steven King, Nick Dal Santo, Luke Ball
Int: Michael Gardiner, Jarryn Geary, Clinton Jones, Steven Baker

In: Geary
Out: Robert Eddy
Iffy: Ray, Geary, Jones, Baker
Waiting: David Armitage, Sean Dempster, Tom Lynch, Eddy

Geary is an anonymous accumulator. Fantasy coaches wondering who is going to step into the Robert Harvey role are going to have to watch NAB Challenge reports to see if he’s mentioned over Jones or Armitage.

FB: Lewis Roberts-Thomson, Craig Bolton, Paul Bevan
HB: Nick Malceski, Ted Richards, Martin Mattner
C: Amon Buchanan, Brett Kirk, Rhyce Shaw
HF: Jarred Moore, Ryan O’Keefe, Jarrad McVeigh
FF: Patrick Veszpremi, Barry Hall, Heath Grundy
Fol: Darren Jolly, Jude Bolton, Adam Goodes
Int: Jesse White, Craig Bird, Jared Crouch, Kieren Jack

In: Bird
Out: Michael O’Loughlin
Iffy: Grundy, Shaw, Crouch, Bird
Waiting: Daniel Currie, Ed Barlow, Luke Ablett, Daniel O’Keefe

There were some signs of life in Sin City this week. Micky O admitted that he wouldn’t be right for round 1, while Leo Barry was put on the long-term injury list. It was also let slip that Currie has had an interrupted preseason, with White testing in drills for ruck and defence and Canadian rugby convert Mike Pyke being tried in the NAB this week against the Power in the ruck. Barry’s injury leaves the door open for a rookie elevation, and while it would be exciting to see a Canadian play senior AFL, fantasy coaches would be hoping to see Kristin Thornton‘s name more prominent in such discussions. With Jake Orreal also set to play against Port at Manuka, that game will be closely monitored for fantasy ruck bench potential, particularly in Super Coach.

FB: Paul Wheatley, Stefan Martin, Colin Garland
HB: Matthew Whelan, Jared Rivers, Simon Buckley
C: Brad Green, Brock McLean, Matthew Bate
HF: Cameron Bruce, Brad Miller, Aaron Davey
FF: Colin Sylvia, Michael Newton, Austin Wonaeamirri
Fol: Paul Johnson, Cale Morton, Nathan Jones
Int: Mark Jamar, James McDonald, Lynden Dunn, Brent Moloney

In: nil
Out: nil
Iffy: Rivers, Newton, Dunn, Moloney
Waiting: Addam Maric, Ricky Petterd, Jack Grimes, James Frawley

With Rivers rolling his ankle at the Demons intra-club this week, it seems there’s no stopping the string of injuries that keep him from being 100% match fit. If he does miss extended periods there’s not a whole ot of senior experience in the shed with Nathan Carroll retired, which is why it was good to hear that Frawley was one of the most impressive in the praccy, particularly with his run-and-carry. Doubt still surrounds a lot of this team, so we should know more after the Launceston game this week.

North Melbourne
FB: Daniel Pratt, Michael Firrito, Josh Gibson
HB: Jesse W. Smith, Drew Petrie, Gavin Urquhart
C: Adam Simpson, Daniel Harris, Daniel Wells
HF: Matt Campbell, Lachie Hansen, Lindsay Thomas
FF: Corey Jones, David Hale, Ben Ross
Fol: Hamish McIntosh, Brady Rawlings, Brent Harvey
Int: Andrew Swallow, Sam Power, Scott McMahon, Leigh Harding

In: nil
Out: nil
Iffy: Ross, Urquhart, McMahon, Swallow
Waiting: Jack Ziebell, Josh Smith, Ed Lower, Scott D. Thompson

Further media snippets this week confirm that Hansen will be started at centre half forward in the absence of Aaron Edwards. Ziebell also got talked up by Pratt in the press, though I am not trusting that as an ironclad endorsement just yet.

Port Adelaide
FB: Michael Pettigrew, Alipate Carlile, Mitch Farmer
HB: Peter Burgoyne, Troy Chaplin, Domenic Cassisi
C: Travis Boak, Chad Cornes, Kane Cornes
HF: David Rodan, Justin Westhoff, Danyle Pearce
FF: Daniel Motlop, Warren Tredrea, Brett Ebert
Fol: Dean Brogan, Steven Salopek, Shaun Burgoyne
Int: Brendon Lade, Josh Carr, Paul Stewart, Robbie Gray

In: nil
Out: nil
Iffy: Farmer, Stewart, Gray, Salopek
Waiting: Jacob Surjan, Nick Salter, Marlon Motlop, Jason Davenport

Another team we will know more about after this week’s NAB games.

FB: Sam Lonergan, Dustin Fletcher, Jay Nash
HB: Adam McPhee, Patrick Ryder, Andrew Lovett
C: Kyle Reimers, Jobe Watson, Bachar Houli
HF: Jay Neagle, Scott Lucas, Scott Gumbleton
FF: Alwyn Davey, Matthew Lloyd, Leroy Jetta
Fol: David Hille, Brent Stanton, Mark McVeigh
Int: Tom Bellchambers, David Myers, Hayden Skipworth, Angus Monfries

In: Skipworth
Out: Michael Hurley
Iffy: Nash, Lonergan, Neagle, Myers
Waiting: Tayte Pears, Ricky Dyson, Courtenay Dempsey, Michael Hurley

Skippy has to be picked after that NAB performance, and Hurley is the odd man out in my estimation due to his gall bladder surgery. I know he is due to regain health before the start of the season, but he’s more likely to be eased into the game with an easy stint at Bendigo first.

FB: Michael Johnson, Antoni Grover, Marcus Drum
HB: David Mundy, Luke McPharlin, Roger Hayden
C: Garrick Ibbotson, Paul Hasleby, Byron Schammer
HF: Kepler Bradley, Matthew Pavlich, Daniel Gilmore
FF: Chris Mayne, Chris Tarrant, Des Headland
Fol: Aaron Sandilands, Rhys Palmer, Ryan Crowley
Int: Brett Peake, Stephen Hill, Steven Dodd, Clayton Hinkley

In: Hill
Out: Andrew Foster
Iffy: Peake, Hinkley, Hill, Drum
Waiting: Scott Thornton, Josh Head, Nick Suban, Greg Broughton

It is against my better judgment to keep Peake in this side, but he did increase his workrate in the last quarter of the NAB game against Richmond, and that may save his skin. Foster Browne failed to impress. Suban doesn’t have to pass much to get into this 22, to be brutally honest.

Western Bulldogs
FB: Lindsay Gilbee, Brian Lake, Dale Morris
HB: Ryan Hargrave, Tom Williams, Andrejs Everitt
C: Ryan Griffen, Daniel Cross, Nathan Eagleton
HF: Robert Murphy, Mitch Hahn, Daniel Giansiracusa
FF: Shaun Higgins, Brad Johnson, Jarrad Grant
Fol: Ben Hudson, Adam Cooney, Matthew Boyd
Int: Will Minson, Callan Ward, Dylan Addison, Josh Hill

In: nil
Out: nil
Iffy: Eagleton, Everitt, Hill, Ward
Waiting: Tim Callan, Jarrod Harbrow, Sam Reid, Stephen Tiller

Another blessed week of no new injuries for the Bulldogs.

I think I’ve ironed out about half of the kinks you complained about during last week, but I am still not budging on Cousins or Walker. Don’t believe the hype! Or, believe it and tell me why I’m wrong in the comments.



  1. Cutty

    February 20, 2009 at 2:22 pm

    The little black book is just for anyone who hasn’t been paying attention in the off-season.

    There are plenty of juicy players who didn’t even rate a mention so there isn’t any reason for those paying attention to be worried.

    P.S. bring on cousins OH YEAH BABY!!!!!!!!!

  2. Macca

    February 20, 2009 at 2:53 pm

    There are 2 major reasons why Cousins should make Rd 1

    (1) Fitness
    I think Judd’s fitness when he started for Carlton in 2008 was lack luster. IMO, Cousin’s fitness is on par if not better than that. Match fitness is also important and you can’t do that by sitting on the sidelines.

    m0nty’s argument that he should be saved for later rounds because he could breakdown is strategically sound – however I think a better option isto use him earlier and if he breakdown early there’s still plenty of rounds left for rehab so he can be in latter rounds rather than have him breakdown in the latter rounds and be out for the rest of 2009.

    You can’t test either of these points until he starts to play.

    (2) Business sense
    If you save him for the “Finals” and be broke down in the first game he plays then that plan goes out the door.

    The Richmond fan are looking for a Messiah. Give them their Messiah – even if he plays bad games, they will cover up with the excuse of “it’s his first year back”…just like the Carlton fan would if Judd had a bad 2008.

    By not playing him, IMO you are diluting his crowd attracting power. Everyone expects the Judd/Cousin match up. Lets assume Judd creamed Cousins on the day – this would set up a “re-match” atmosphere. I think this would be a better business decision than to have Cousins on the sidelines.

  3. ben919

    February 20, 2009 at 3:04 pm

    wht about ballantyne from freo?

  4. hilly

    February 20, 2009 at 3:48 pm


    Ballantyne had wrist surgery and hasn’t even touched the footy yet so will likely start in the WAFL with Peel Thunder, but will definitely play for the Dockers by round 5

    They rate him highly and he is set to make an impact as a mature aged goalkicker

  5. Lakey91

    February 20, 2009 at 3:55 pm

    Macca 1) Judd didnt have anywhere near the injury history of cousins, and he hadnt missed 12 months of football, and he wasnt a recovering drug addict. 3 VERY big factors.

  6. adam

    February 20, 2009 at 4:12 pm

    why would u say that ong? wats ur problem

  7. adam

    February 20, 2009 at 4:16 pm

    wheres ladson for hawks,you have plenty of time to do this monty im sure you wouldnt have made a mistake like this.he must be injured

  8. m0nty

    February 20, 2009 at 4:19 pm

    Ladson has been injured actually, adam.

  9. Troy

    February 20, 2009 at 4:51 pm

    Better put Maxwell back in for Round 1!!

  10. steve

    February 20, 2009 at 5:10 pm

    I am after strategys on supercoach selection. ie breakdown of premium/mid/rookie. ie backs mids rucks forwards. is there a successful strategy or is it like just luck ? this is my current side which is pretty much a stock standard set up.i am aware of MONTYS back premium back plan up but have my reservations about it.your thoughrs please ??
    Goddard, C Cornes, Birchall, Adcock, Malceski, Myers, Raines, Hill, Broughton.

    Judd, Pendlebury, Boyd, Kerr, Polkinghorne,
    Rich, Robinson, Cockie

    Cox, Jolly, White, Currie.

    Pavlich, Deledio, Didak, Lucas, Veszpremi, Higgins, Skipworth, Gumbleton, Dzufer.

  11. Andy

    February 22, 2009 at 6:42 pm

    Hogan could get 50 touches in the nab cup and still wouldn’t get picked in front of Kelly

  12. Will

    February 22, 2009 at 9:41 pm

    Dempsey is most definitely in Essendon’s 22.

    He’s not even iffy or on the borderline of selection, and any bombers supporter will tell you that if fit Dempsey will play.

    Feel free to go the the bombers board on BF and ask, only reason you wouldn’t have him listed is if he’s not available through injury.

  13. brendan

    February 23, 2009 at 11:10 am

    very interesting there is no mention of No.1 and 2 draft picks, Watts and Naitanui. Very little information on any afl website about there pre season progress and expectations. Thoughts…

  14. gerry01

    February 23, 2009 at 12:17 pm

    watts is doing year 12 and nat is injured. simple…..

  15. dave

    February 24, 2009 at 11:37 am

    You don’t know what you are talking about, if cousins does not play round 1, I am a monkeys uncle. You don’t even have him on the bench. He is not injured you know, he was only a drug addict, he will burn it up.

  16. Col

    February 24, 2009 at 12:30 pm

    Oh dave, you just made yourself look like a monkey’s arse, not a monkey’s uncle.

  17. peppers

    February 24, 2009 at 1:02 pm

    Rusling would have to be an iffy for R1 wouldn’t he? His place in the team will depend highly on NAB form (which he may not play in)…

    He’s one of the many “big risk, potential big reward” forwards this year

  18. Lee

    February 24, 2009 at 8:14 pm

    According to story on AFL website, Matthew Richardson has selected Andrew Raines in his own DT, based on his strong pre-season form. A pretty good endorsement?

  19. Rob

    February 25, 2009 at 10:00 am

    Would any Hawks supporters be able to tell me what kind of role Travis Tuck will play this year? With Crawf retiring is Tuck favourite to take his place in the midfield or will he still be battling away to try and break into the best 22?

  20. Jamie

    February 25, 2009 at 2:41 pm

    I noticed that Rick Ladson is not named in the Hawks. Is he injured or was he accidently overlooked?

  21. m0nty

    February 25, 2009 at 3:00 pm

    He has been injured, Jamie.

  22. Lee

    February 26, 2009 at 11:30 am

    v5.0 coming out today?

  23. jam

    February 26, 2009 at 5:13 pm

    wat about Trent Potential Hentchel surely he will play round one, his performance against the cats was promising

  24. micksta

    March 9, 2009 at 7:53 pm

    Does anyone know if Jake spence from Melbourne will get a run ?

  25. keg

    March 18, 2009 at 3:20 am

    Lads, hot tip for Dream Team and the rest. Get Sam Lonergan and B Goddard in ur teams! They are set for a big one according to team mates. D Kerr is priced well but get ride of him by round 4 or 5 as he will prob get suspended…

  26. n3v3rmiss

    March 21, 2009 at 3:34 pm

    I concur with Keg Sam Lonergan looks hot this season. What is happening with jack grimes and sam butler????

  27. Knowledgeable

    March 25, 2009 at 11:03 pm

    How about slotting Matthew Warnock into your Melbourne side. Hasn’t missed a game pre-season and was 5th in Melbourne 08 B&F.

    There are a truckload of others:
    Several changes to Carlton
    Beams will play

    Others that have been included too that won’t play.

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