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Author Topic: AAP Alliance v EurAsia: AAPs Atonement  (Read 1114 times)
Purple 77
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He has risen

« on: June 07, 2021, 07:28:17 pm »

WXV Round 12
Rep Round


AFL ROUND 13

Port Adelaide v Geelong      
Sydney v Hawthorn
Fremantle v Gold Coast
St Kilda v Adelaide
North Melbourne v GWS
West Coast v Richmond
Melbourne v Collingwood   

AFL ROUND 14

North Melbourne v Brisbane
Geelong v Western Bulldogs
Gold Coast v Port Adelaide
GWS v Carlton
Hawthorn v Essendon




Representative Round, AFL Round 13 + Round 14 (as above)
Home Team                             Away Team                             Venue                                                                                 Head-to-Head
AAP Alliance EurAsia  Melbourne Cricket Ground       4  v  5



What started as a way to fill in time between WXV rounds has really developed into a highly anticipated annual fixture! I've seen a gradual rise in engagement in this clash in the past few years, to the extent where there is now genuine feeling in this! I've never seen the WXV community as engaged in this rivalry as it is now, and it's just bloody awesome to be honest.

For the newbies, there is 1 (and a half) too many AFL rounds to fill a WXV fixture, and as such the H&A fixture takes a break over the second half of the bye rounds. During that time, we split the competition in 2 by geography, and select the coaches of these two sides by whomever is highest on the WXV Ladder so far in the year. They get to pick a side of 19 out of the players of the teams whom fall within their allocated geography.



A big shift has occurred over the past 12 months. EurAsia was so clearly the favourites in 2020 (and they delivered the biggest ever score between these sides to show for it), but now, AAP have bridged the gap significantly and to be honest, it looks quite level!

EurAsiaAAP Alliance
1Seoul Magpies2Cape Town Cobras
3PNL Reindeers4Pacific Islanders
6Dublin Destroyers5Mexico City Suns
7Beijing Pandas10Toronto Wolves
8Berlin Brewers11New York Revolution
9Tokyo Samurai13Rio de Janeiro Jaguars
12London Royals14Buenos Aires Armadillos
16Moscow Spetsnaz15Cairo Sands
17New Delhi Tigers18Christchurch Saints



AAP were angry last year. EurAsia were better on all fronts, and they knew it.

They challenged where they could, and they played the mind game so well. But they were simply no chance, despite posting a good score.

Deflating, embarrassing... motivating? Read below and you'll see!

(the following analysis excludes whom have not played in the past 3 rounds)

Defence
AAP weapon this year is its defence. They have 4 of the 5 highest averaging defenders - Mills (Cape Town), Laird (Pacific), Stewart (Cairo) and Rich (Rio) - who stand heads and shoulders above the rest in overall season form. However, the difference in these games is ceiling and the highest score posted by a defender this year in fact Dublin's Chris Salem (167). That special effort, unfortunately for EurAsia, is the only one really as that aforementioned quartet has the EurAsian's covered comfortably. The odds are with AAP in this position.

Midfield
Heh! AAP have 4 of the 5 highest averaging mids too (*gulp*). Whilst you could pretty much pick the entire Pacific midifield and you'd be set, AAP have the likes of Macrae (Toronto), Guthrie (New York), Parish (Buenos Aires) and Walsh (Mexico City) to join the likes of the Islanders Bont and Lyons. That's quite intimidating, actually. For EurAsia, they have the best looking mug in the AFL leading the pack in Seoul's Clayton Oliver, the meteoric rise of London's Touk Miller and Clarry's Seoul teammate in Jack Steele before a noticeable dip in average... but again, Clarry has demonstrated the highest ceiling out of all mids so far this year with his 204, and efforts like that will be the difference in this game. I fear AAP though, on the balance of probabilities, have this position in the bag too.

Ruck
Ahhh, EurAsia's old faithful position of dominance (except that one time). Maximus Gawn (Berlin) doubles as EurAsia's best ruck and overall highest averaging player (again) and absolutely dwarf's AAPs Naitanui (Mexico City) and (the injured) Sean Darcy (Christchurch). KMart Max is also injured for EurAsia, but in his absence sets up Gawn against the likes of Darcy Cameron and Max Lynch. Shudder and weep AAP.

Forward
Now this is where the coaches can have some creative (and potentially match deciding) influence. 2021 is not the year for forwards. There are 4 forwards so far averaging 100+ (all for EurAsia), and only 1 of them is available this week - Moscow's Jack Ziebell. I certainly didn't think I'd type that this year. I'll now follow that sentence by saying AAPs best forward so far this year is Pacific's Taylor Walker. Anyway - EurAsia's would-be position of strength has been levelled out and they will consider a host of forwards averaging in the low 90s in its line-up. For AAP, on averages it's a clearer choice but jeepers these players are fraught with danger with potential coach killing performances lurking. I have no idea who will be picked - I think it's a level playing field this one.



My tip? AAP will lose.
 




HISTORY

2020 (Holz): EurAsia (30.9.189) def AAP Alliance (27.10.172)
2019 (FTC): AAP Alliance (29.6.180) def EurAsia (29.6.179*)
2018 (Purple77): EurAsia (28.11.179) def AAP Alliance (26.10.166)
2017 (Ricochet/elephants): AAP Alliance (25.8.158) lost to EurAsia (26.7.163)
2016 (Holz): EurAsia (27.11.173) def AAP Alliance (23.11.149)
2015 (JROO8): AAP Alliance (26.12.168*) def EurAsia (26.11.167)
2014 (Nails): EurAsia (24.11.155) lost to AAP Alliance (25.18.168)
2013 (Ringo): AAP Alliance (25.22.172) lost to EurAsia (27.21.183)
2012 (CrowsFan): AAP Alliance (28.8.176) def EurAsia (27.11.173)



So with that said, tell us what you think! But more importantly, put forward your players to GL and JB and get involved! Ensure that one of your players isn't a Salty Second  8)

ROLLING LOCKOUT PERMITTED / FOUR EMERGENCIES PERMITTED
« Last Edit: June 07, 2021, 07:41:48 pm by Purple 77 » Logged
GoLions
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Get around the Kate Upton Cobras!

« Reply #1 on: June 10, 2021, 03:45:33 pm »

AAP

Mills, Laird, Stewart, Rich
Macrae, Parish (C), Bont (VC), Lyons
NicNat
Dale, Bolton, Hall, Langford
Guthrie, Walsh

Duncan, ROB, Bowes, Tex
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Purple 77
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He has risen

« Reply #2 on: June 10, 2021, 06:38:47 pm »

EurAsia with 4 of the last 5... if it weren't for that pesky Adelaide ruckman, it'd be 5.

Is THAT the squad to rise against the EurAsia superpower? Is Parish the messiah?
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« Reply #3 on: June 10, 2021, 08:20:26 pm »

yes
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EXV 2.0 is on

« Reply #4 on: June 11, 2021, 10:17:55 am »

EurAsia with 4 of the last 5... if it weren't for that pesky Adelaide ruckman, it'd be 5.

Is THAT the squad to rise against the EurAsia superpower? Is Parish the messiah?

Last 5 premierships I think too
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Get around the Kate Upton Cobras!

« Reply #5 on: June 11, 2021, 03:55:19 pm »

AAP

Mills, Laird, Stewart, Rich
Macrae, Parish (C), Bont (VC), Lyons
NicNat
Dale, Bolton, Hall, Langford
Guthrie, Walsh

Duncan, ROB, Bowes, Tex
Darcy replaces ROB
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Forever 63 Not Out

« Reply #6 on: June 11, 2021, 04:37:24 pm »

D: Jake Lloyd, Luke Ryan , Jack Crisp, Sam Docherty
M: Clayton Oliver, Jack Steele (VC), Tuok Miller, Zach Merrett
R: Max Gawn (C)
F: Jack Zieball, Patrick Dangerfield, Dustin Martin, Toby Greene
I: Josh Kelly, Jacob Hopper
E: Tom Hickey, Brad Crouch. Steele Sidebottom, Christian Salem
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Get around the Kate Upton Cobras!

« Reply #7 on: June 11, 2021, 10:47:42 pm »

AAP

DEF: Callum Mills (Cape Town), Rory Laird (Pacific), Tom Stewart (Cairo), Daniel Rich (Rio)
MID: Darcy Parish [C] (Buenos Aires), Marcus Bontempelli [VC] (Pacific), Jack Macrae (Toronto), Jarryd Lyons (Pacific)
RUCK: Nic Naitanui (Mexico)
FWD: Shai Bolton (Mexico), Bailey Dale (Cairo), Aaron Hall (Mexico), Kyle Langford (New York)
UTIL: Cam Guthrie (New York), Sam Walsh (Mexico)

EMG: Mitch Duncan (Cape Town), Sean Darcy (Christchurch), Jack Bowes (Cape Town), Taylor Walker (Pacific)
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Forever 63 Not Out

« Reply #8 on: June 12, 2021, 08:49:49 am »

D: Jake Lloyd, Luke Ryan , Jack Crisp, Sam Docherty
M: Clayton Oliver, Jack Steele (VC), Tuok Miller, Zach Merrett
R: Max Gawn (C)
F: Jack Zieball, Patrick Dangerfield, Dustin Martin, Toby Greene
I: Josh Kelly, Lachie Neale
E: Tom Hickey, Brad Crouch. Steele Sidebottom, Christian Salem
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Purple 77
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He has risen

« Reply #9 on: June 13, 2021, 05:37:08 pm »

After Saturday

Man, this has already got the makings of an EPIC match!

So far, both teams have had 2 defenders play and they've essentially drawn level! Pacific's Rory Laird (132) was outstanding for AAP, as was PNL's Luke Ryan (128) for EurAsia. Those are the kinda scores that make a real difference in this game.

Cape Town's Callum Mills (105) and Seoul's Jake Lloyd (104) put in 'par' efforts in the context for this game, but both coaches will take it... even if Mills in particularly had the ceiling to go bigger.

Also on the field, we've had EurAsia Vice Captain Jack Steele (126) put in a very commendable showing. It is neither game deciding nor a bad score, but you'd suspect EurAsia won't opt to loop in that score for the Captain Bonus as Big Max is poised to go lorge.

Speaking of lorge though - AAP seem destined to loop in Christchurch's Sean Darcy (140) in what shapes as a HUGE score! What a game.

EurAsia may be tempted to loop in Tom Hickey's 96, but I suspect they'd rather not. It's a shame, given Brad Crouch's 124 is sitting at E2 and he isn't getting on the field unless Hickey does. I wonder if JB will change his mind?

AAP have the slight advantage so far, but very early days.

AAP AllianceEurAsia
POSTraditionalSCOPENADJ                   POSTraditionalSCOPENADJ
D1Callum Mills (Cape Town)105105D1Jake Lloyd (New Delhi)104104
D2Rory Laird (Pacific)132132D2Luke Ryan (PNL)128128
D3Tom Stewart (Cairo)00D3Jack Crisp (Seoul)00
D4Daniel Rich (Rio de Janeiro)00D4Sam Docherty (Moscow)00
M1Darcy Parish (Buenos Aires)00M1Clayton Oliver (Seoul)00
M2Marcus Bontempelli (Pacific)00M2Jack Steele (Seoul)126126
M3Jack Macrae (Toronto)00M3Touk Miller (London)00
M4Jarryd Lyons (Pacific)00M4Zach Merrett (PNL)00
R1Nic Naitanui (Mexico City)00R1Max Gawn (Berlin)00
F1Shai Bolton (Mexico City)00F1Jack Ziebell (Moscow)00
F2Bailey Dale (Cairo)00F2Patrick Dangerfield (Seoul)00
F3Aaron Hall (Mexico City)00F3Dustin Martin (Dublin)00
F4Kyle Langford (New York)00F4Toby Greene (Dublin)00
U1 (MID)Cameron Guthrie (New York)00U1 (MID)Josh Kelly (Moscow)00
U2 (MID)Sam Walsh (Mexico City)00U2 (MID)Lachie Neale (Beijing)00
E1 (MID)Mitch Duncan (Cape Town)000E1 (RUC)Tom Hickey (PNL)9600
E2 (RUC)Sean Darcy (Christchurch)14000E2 (MID)Brad Crouch (Dublin)12400
E3 (DEF)Jack Bowes (Cape Town)000E3 (MID FWD)Steele Sidebottom (PNL)000
E4 (FWD)Taylor Walker (Pacific)3400E4 (DEF)Christian Salem (Dublin)000
CDarcy Parish (Buenos Aires)00CMax Gawn (Berlin)00
VCMarcus Bontempelli (Pacific)00VCJack Steele (Seoul)1260
Total:2372Total:3583



Salty Seconds

Some bad reading for EurAsia here, with the 4 saltiest players so far. Leading the salt levels is PNL's Dougal Howard (160) who, to be fair, but in a score DOUBLE his average, so probably fair enough JB missed his potential in that one. The same could nearly be said for Dublin's Dane Rampe (131) whom although has shown an ability to go big in the past, he's had a tough 2021 so far.

Tiger Jack Sinclair (126) also would have come in handy as a very left field selection, whilst Dublin's Brad Crouch (124) still might find his way onto the field yet.

For AAP, Sun James Aish (111) stands as the saltiest selection so far followed by Dillo Tom Highmore (111), but they were never getting picked.
« Last Edit: June 13, 2021, 06:20:46 pm by Purple 77 » Logged
Purple 77
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He has risen

« Reply #10 on: June 14, 2021, 05:51:05 pm »

After Wce/Rich/Coll/Melb

Some big moves!

Mexico City's Nic Naitanui put in a great showing for AAP, whilst teammate Shai Bolton was the first person not to ton in the game. It will still a solid performance regardless. I also missed in my last update the shocker from Tex tucked away at E4 for AAP... GL would want to be alert for any late outs in the forward line, that's for sure.

But these matches were more relevant for EurAsia who... would be disappointed with its return. Seoul's Jack Crisp put in a very average 79, as did forward emergency and Reindeer Steele Sidebottom. Seoul's Clayton Oliver also put in a below average showing, but the biggest disappointment lies with Berlin's Max Gawn who didn't capitalise against inexperienced opposition. The Captain score isn't nearly as high as EurAsia would want... but it's not terrible.

Thankfully, Dublin's Dustin Martin (110) contributed a good score, and teammate Chris Salem's 99 may also be considered to be looped in.

The scoreboard as EurAsia in front, but AAP have the clear advantage here.

AAP AllianceEurAsia
POSTraditionalSCOPENADJ                   POSTraditionalSCOPENADJ
D1Callum Mills (Cape Town)105105D1Jake Lloyd (New Delhi)104104
D2Rory Laird (Pacific)132132D2Luke Ryan (PNL)128128
D3Tom Stewart (Cairo)00D3Jack Crisp (Seoul)7979
D4Daniel Rich (Rio de Janeiro)00D4Sam Docherty (Moscow)00
M1Darcy Parish (Buenos Aires)00M1Clayton Oliver (Seoul)108108
M2Marcus Bontempelli (Pacific)00M2Jack Steele (Seoul)126126
M3Jack Macrae (Toronto)00M3Touk Miller (London)00
M4Jarryd Lyons (Pacific)00M4Zach Merrett (PNL)00
R1Nic Naitanui (Mexico City)125125R1Max Gawn (Berlin)123123
F1Shai Bolton (Mexico City)9696F1Jack Ziebell (Moscow)00
F2Bailey Dale (Cairo)00F2Patrick Dangerfield (Seoul)00
F3Aaron Hall (Mexico City)00F3Dustin Martin (Dublin)110110
F4Kyle Langford (New York)00F4Toby Greene (Dublin)00
U1 (MID)Cameron Guthrie (New York)00U1 (MID)Josh Kelly (Moscow)00
U2 (MID)Sam Walsh (Mexico City)00U2 (MID)Lachie Neale (Beijing)00
E1 (MID)Mitch Duncan (Cape Town)000E1 (RUC)Tom Hickey (PNL)9600
E2 (RUC)Sean Darcy (Christchurch)14000E2 (MID)Brad Crouch (Dublin)12400
E3 (DEF)Jack Bowes (Cape Town)000E3 (MID FWD)Steele Sidebottom (PNL)7400
E4 (FWD)Taylor Walker (Pacific)3400E4 (DEF)Christian Salem (Dublin)9900
CDarcy Parish (Buenos Aires)00CMax Gawn (Berlin)123123
VCMarcus Bontempelli (Pacific)00VCJack Steele (Seoul)1260
Total:4584Total:9017

Salty Seconds

Hindsight is a wonderful thing. Moscow's Scott Pendlebury (167) - of course he was going to lift for Bucks! Bah. Rio's Brayden Maynard (142) also would have put in a game changing performance, and Dublin's Shannon Hurn (122) also would have been a welcome addition for EurAsia.

There is also a decent cohort of 100-120 scorers - such as Cairo's Nick Vlastuin, Berlin's Steven May, and Buenos Aires' Jayden Short and Jordan De Goey - that would have made a fine contribution.
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Get around the Kate Upton Cobras!

« Reply #11 on: June 14, 2021, 10:52:42 pm »

AAP

DEF: Callum Mills (Cape Town), Rory Laird (Pacific), Tom Stewart (Cairo), Daniel Rich (Rio)
MID: Darcy Parish [C] (Buenos Aires), Marcus Bontempelli [VC] (Pacific), Jack Macrae (Toronto), Jarryd Lyons (Pacific)
RUCK: Nic Naitanui (Mexico)
FWD: Shai Bolton (Mexico), Bailey Dale (Cairo), Aaron Hall (Mexico), Kyle Langford (New York)
UTIL: Cam Guthrie (New York), Sam Walsh (Mexico)

EMG: Mitch Duncan (Cape Town), Sean Darcy (Christchurch), Jack Bowes (Cape Town), Taylor Walker (Pacific)
Cam Guthrie and Mitch Duncan out for Cam Rayner and James Sicily



AAP

DEF: Callum Mills (Cape Town), Rory Laird (Pacific), Tom Stewart (Cairo), Daniel Rich (Rio)
MID: Darcy Parish [C] (Buenos Aires), Marcus Bontempelli [VC] (Pacific), Jack Macrae (Toronto), Jarryd Lyons (Pacific)
RUCK: Nic Naitanui (Mexico)
FWD: Shai Bolton (Mexico), Bailey Dale (Cairo), Aaron Hall (Mexico), Kyle Langford (New York)
UTIL: Sam Walsh (Mexico), Cameron Rayner (Buenos Aires)

EMG: James Sicily (Mexico), Sean Darcy (Christchurch), Jack Bowes (Cape Town), Taylor Walker (Pacific)
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Get around the Kate Upton Cobras!

« Reply #12 on: June 15, 2021, 01:38:02 pm »

AAP

DEF: Callum Mills (Cape Town), Rory Laird (Pacific), Tom Stewart (Cairo), Daniel Rich (Rio)
MID: Darcy Parish [C] (Buenos Aires), Marcus Bontempelli [VC] (Pacific), Jack Macrae (Toronto), Jarryd Lyons (Pacific)
RUCK: Nic Naitanui (Mexico)
FWD: Shai Bolton (Mexico), Bailey Dale (Cairo), Aaron Hall (Mexico), Kyle Langford (New York)
UTIL: Sam Walsh (Mexico), Jye Caldwell (Cairo)

EMG: James Sicily (Mexico), Sean Darcy (Christchurch), Cam Guthrie (New York), Taylor Walker (Pacific)



Caldwell in for Rayner, Guthrie in for Bowes
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Get around the Kate Upton Cobras!

« Reply #13 on: June 18, 2021, 09:40:02 pm »

AAP

DEF: Callum Mills (Cape Town), Rory Laird (Pacific), Tom Stewart (Cairo), Daniel Rich (Rio)
MID: Darcy Parish [C] (Buenos Aires), Marcus Bontempelli [VC] (Pacific), Jack Macrae (Toronto), Jarryd Lyons (Pacific)
RUCK: Nic Naitanui (Mexico)
FWD: Shai Bolton (Mexico), Bailey Dale (Cairo), Aaron Hall (Mexico), Kyle Langford (New York)
UTIL: Sam Walsh (Mexico), Jye Caldwell (Cairo)

EMG: James Sicily (Mexico), Sean Darcy (Christchurch), Cam Guthrie (New York), Taylor Walker (Pacific)



Caldwell in for Rayner, Guthrie in for Bowes
Caldwell C over Parish
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Purple 77
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He has risen

« Reply #14 on: June 19, 2021, 06:41:36 am »

No score updates this weekend unfortunately; currently holidaying/travelling.

But eyeballing... seems AAP had a good game. Except for Dale
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