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Brownlow 2018

Started by BB67th, March 26, 2018, 08:44:42 PM

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SilverLion

Liking Cogs to lead after round 5, Westhoff for PA most votes and Grundy most votes 15-23 as good value.

shaker

Reckon Grundy has to be a sneaky chance he has had a stellar year and it's time for an upset win  ;) hate to say it but it's the year of the Pies.

dmac07

Quote from: shaker on September 23, 2018, 02:18:43 PM
Reckon Grundy has to be a sneaky chance he has had a stellar year and it's time for an upset win  ;) hate to say it but it's the year of the Pies.

Im quietly confident Grundy can give it a shake for reasons I've already outlined.  Also a Pies fan and backed Grundy at 67s.. neither of which cloud my judgement  8)

dmac07

I've also got a few of my bets onto Sportsbet under the BYO brownlow.

Mitchell, Grundy, Gawn, Yeo - Top 4 Any Order (Exc Ineligible) $34

Mitchell, Grundy, Gawn, Yeo, Gaff - Top 5 any order $151

Gawn/Oliver to combine for 40 or more votes $1.85

Gaff and Yeo both 20 or more. $5

Cripps not to make top 10 - $8

I dont like the odds they gave me on Gaff/Yeo, but like all the others. Especially Gawn/Oliver, fighting for the same votes so no matter the split they should get there.

Big Mac

Is that Cripps one excluding ineligible?

upthemaidens

Just the Michell/Martin Quinella @3.50 with no confidence.   

jvalles69

Quote from: Big  Mac on September 23, 2018, 05:12:44 PM
Is that Cripps one excluding ineligible?

I'd like to know too, because that's a juicy one.

dmac07

Quote from: jvalles69 on September 23, 2018, 07:12:41 PM
Quote from: Big  Mac on September 23, 2018, 05:12:44 PM
Is that Cripps one excluding ineligible?

I'd like to know too, because that's a juicy one.

I wrote it including ineligible but they didnt specify in the market. Gaff should finish ahead of him and maybe Fyfe so it makes a difference. 

jvalles69

#128
If anyones interested on some round betting, these are the ones I'm fairly confident on, if anyone wants to correlate it would be good to see if we match.

Confident
Rd 1
Dusty $2.25
Coniglio $3

Rd 4
O'Meara $3.50

Rd 6
Ebert $10

Rd 12
De Goey $1.85

Rd 13
Wines $2
Yeo $1.60

Rd 15
Simpson $1.60
Beams $1.55

Rd 16
Wingard $1.60

Rd 18
Crouch $1.75
Kelly $5

Rd 19
Dixon $1.57

Rd 20
Zorko $2.75

Rd 21
Danger $1.80

Rd 22
Parker $3.50

Rd 23
Macrae $2
Lloyd $4.25
Cripps (WC) $4
Brayshaw $4.50

Big Mac

Quote from: dmac07 on September 24, 2018, 10:29:18 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 23, 2018, 07:12:41 PM
Quote from: Big  Mac on September 23, 2018, 05:12:44 PM
Is that Cripps one excluding ineligible?

I'd like to know too, because that's a juicy one.

I wrote it including ineligible but they didnt specify in the market. Gaff should finish ahead of him and maybe Fyfe so it makes a difference.

Yeah I feel like it might not be because they have a separate market for BYOB including ineligible players

R.Griffen

Ladbrokes $2 Titch special max $20 ran out in 6 minutes. Why aren’t all the bookies doing it this year?

elephants

Placing my bets now. For me its looking like...

Team Multi

Zorko w/o Beams, Fyfe, Danger, Coniglio, Macrae @ $4.81 then probably the same but I'll add in JPK top Swans to take it over $10.

Various Punts

Gaff + Yeo 20+ @ $5
Crouch top ADE @ $5
Hoff top Pear @ $21
JPK top Sydney @ $2.80
Heeney to outpoll Bont @ 2.55
Kelly to outpoll DeGoey @ 2.57
Zorko best Capt Group B @ 2.00 (ubet)
Gaff best mid Group C @ 2.50 (ubet)

Safer Singles

Yeo top 10 @ 1.80
Gaff > Fyfe @ 1.90

Arb Opportunity?

Tom Mitchell is $3 to win by 4 or more votes while Dusty is $2.80 with the 5 vote handicap.

Rusty00

Quote from: jvalles69 on September 24, 2018, 12:24:46 PM
If anyones interested on some round betting, these are the ones I'm fairly confident on, if anyone wants to correlate it would be good to see if we match.

Confident
Rd 1
Dusty $2.25
Coniglio $3 Done

Rd 4
O'Meara $3.50

Rd 6
Ebert $10 Done

Rd 12
De Goey $1.85

Rd 13
Wines $2
Yeo $1.60

Rd 15
Simpson $1.60
Beams $1.55

Rd 16
Wingard $1.60

Rd 18
Crouch $1.75
Kelly $5

Rd 19
Dixon $1.57

Rd 20
Zorko $2.75

Rd 21
Danger $1.80

Rd 22
Parker $3.50

Rd 23
Macrae $2
Lloyd $4.25 Done
Cripps (WC) $4
Brayshaw $4.50 Done
What does "Done" mean? Are these the ones that you have placed a bet on?

Bill Manspeaker

#133
just joking of course I didn't predict that

jvalles69

Quote from: Rusty00 on September 24, 2018, 01:47:12 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 24, 2018, 12:24:46 PM
If anyones interested on some round betting, these are the ones I'm fairly confident on, if anyone wants to correlate it would be good to see if we match.

Confident
Rd 1
Dusty $2.25
Coniglio $3 Done

Rd 4
O'Meara $3.50

Rd 6
Ebert $10 Done

Rd 12
De Goey $1.85

Rd 13
Wines $2
Yeo $1.60

Rd 15
Simpson $1.60
Beams $1.55

Rd 16
Wingard $1.60

Rd 18
Crouch $1.75
Kelly $5

Rd 19
Dixon $1.57

Rd 20
Zorko $2.75

Rd 21
Danger $1.80

Rd 22
Parker $3.50

Rd 23
Macrae $2
Lloyd $4.25 Done
Cripps (WC) $4
Brayshaw $4.50 Done
What does "Done" mean? Are these the ones that you have placed a bet on?

Haha, yeah they were the ones I'd already placed bets on for my record.