Well a new season has started, and that means it's time to kick off another Brownlow medal count.
It was good fun to follow along the counts that various members ran last year. I also did my own, and it helped to get opinions from other people who had actually watched games to see who they were giving votes to!
So far for round 1, from the games I actually watched, I've gone with
1 votes 2 votes 3 votes
Richmond v Carlton K.Simpson P.Cripps D.Martin
Essendon v Adelaide R.Laird D.Zaharakis D.Heppell
St Kilda v Brisbane B.Acres J.Steven J.Billings
Gold Coast v North Melbourne J.Ziebell D.Swallow J.Witts
Anyone else started a count this year? What do your votes look like for round 1?
Unfortunately won't be able to do my own count this year, far too busy to watch enough games now haha
From the 2 games I did see though;
Bloos vs Tigs:
3 - Paddy C
2 - C Cornrow
1 - K Simmo
Bombers vs Crows:
3 - Hep D
2 - Rory L
1 - M Piece
Doubt I will be doing my count this year. I didn't have the time last year to get it right and it told come brownlow night.
I did watch West Coast v Sydney last night. 3 votes Buddy, 2 Parker, 1 Nic Nat.
The only other game I watch in its entirety was Thursday night and there are only 4 players that can get votes. Thought Cripps was a lock for 3, Dusty 2 and toss of the coin between Curnow/Simmo for the last vote.
I spent a while tossing up between Dusty and Cripps for the 3. I went with Dusty in the end because of the Tigers win and his polling history, but Cripps probably did deserve it.
This is what I think the umps will do not who I thought was best on
Rich vs Carl
3. Dustin Martin
2. Patrick Cripps
1. Kade Simpson
Ess vs Adel
3. Dyson Heppell
2. Bryce Gibbs
1. David Zaharakis
STK vs Bris
3. Jack Steven
2. Jack Billings
1. Blake Acres
GC vs NM
3. Aaron Young
2. David Swallow
1. Jarrod Witts
GWS vs WB
3. Stephen Coniglio
2. Jeremy Cameron
1. Toby Greene
Melb vs Geel
3. Joel Selwood
2. Gary Ablett
1. Max Gawn
WC vs Syd
3. Lance Franklin
2. Luke Parker
1. Isaac Heeney
Haven’t seen the Haw vs Coll game yet but assuming Mitchell gets 3, JOM 2, Pendles 1 from what I’ve heard
Tigers (121) vs Blues (95) Martin 3 Cripps 2 Riewoldt 1
Bombers (99) vs Crows (87) Heppell 3 Gibbs 2 Laird 1
Saints (107) vs Lions (82) Steven 3 Billings 2 Acres 1
Power (110) vs Dockers (60) Westhoff 3 Watts 2 Sandilands 1
Suns (55) vs Roos (39) Swallow 3 Witts 2 Young 1
Hawks (101) vs Pies (67) Mitchell 3 Sicily 2 Gunston 1
Giants (133) vs Dogs (51) Coniglio 3 Cameron 2 Greene 1
Demons (94) vs Cats (97) Selwood 3 Ablett 2 Gawn 1
Eagles (86) vs Swans (115) Franklin 3 Parker 2 Lloyd 1
Crownbet are freezing the Brownlow market from rounds 1-4. Might find a good smoky at top odds!
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 27, 2018, 10:49:16 PM
Crownbet are freezing the Brownlow market from rounds 1-4. Might find a good smoky at top odds!
cripps odds?
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 27, 2018, 10:49:16 PM
Crownbet are freezing the Brownlow market from rounds 1-4. Might find a good smoky at top odds!
i had money on titch 17-1 pre season, still got 17-1 when i put another cheeky tenner on after saturday night, but now he is $8 ????
Quote from: Hawka on March 28, 2018, 01:58:25 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 27, 2018, 10:49:16 PM
Crownbet are freezing the Brownlow market from rounds 1-4. Might find a good smoky at top odds!
i had money on titch 17-1 pre season, still got 17-1 when i put another cheeky tenner on after saturday night, but now he is $8 ????
On Crown? Reckon we should email them and say what's the go.
Think Cripps was $17, but that sounds too high, so maybe these pricks are cheating.
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 28, 2018, 11:11:30 AM
Quote from: Hawka on March 28, 2018, 01:58:25 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 27, 2018, 10:49:16 PM
Crownbet are freezing the Brownlow market from rounds 1-4. Might find a good smoky at top odds!
i had money on titch 17-1 pre season, still got 17-1 when i put another cheeky tenner on after saturday night, but now he is $8 ????
On Crown? Reckon we should email them and say what's the go.
Think Cripps was $17, but that sounds too high, so maybe these pricks are cheating.
Do crown bet let you cash out brownlow bets?
Quote from: WhatMate on March 28, 2018, 01:13:06 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 28, 2018, 11:11:30 AM
Quote from: Hawka on March 28, 2018, 01:58:25 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 27, 2018, 10:49:16 PM
Crownbet are freezing the Brownlow market from rounds 1-4. Might find a good smoky at top odds!
i had money on titch 17-1 pre season, still got 17-1 when i put another cheeky tenner on after saturday night, but now he is $8 ????
On Crown? Reckon we should email them and say what's the go.
Think Cripps was $17, but that sounds too high, so maybe these pricks are cheating.
Do crown bet let you cash out brownlow bets?
Not sure about that one?
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 28, 2018, 01:21:12 PM
Quote from: WhatMate on March 28, 2018, 01:13:06 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 28, 2018, 11:11:30 AM
Quote from: Hawka on March 28, 2018, 01:58:25 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 27, 2018, 10:49:16 PM
Crownbet are freezing the Brownlow market from rounds 1-4. Might find a good smoky at top odds!
i had money on titch 17-1 pre season, still got 17-1 when i put another cheeky tenner on after saturday night, but now he is $8 ????
On Crown? Reckon we should email them and say what's the go.
Think Cripps was $17, but that sounds too high, so maybe these pricks are cheating.
Do crown bet let you cash out brownlow bets?
Not sure about that one?
Interesting. If they are in fact freezing the markets wouldnt it make sense to place your bet before round 4 ends?
Dusty or Jenkins for the 3 last night? I'm more inclined to go Dusty as he put in a more consistent effort across the game. 2 for Jenkins and 1 for Laird.
Quote from: WhatMate on March 29, 2018, 06:36:05 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 28, 2018, 01:21:12 PM
Quote from: WhatMate on March 28, 2018, 01:13:06 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 28, 2018, 11:11:30 AM
Quote from: Hawka on March 28, 2018, 01:58:25 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 27, 2018, 10:49:16 PM
Crownbet are freezing the Brownlow market from rounds 1-4. Might find a good smoky at top odds!
i had money on titch 17-1 pre season, still got 17-1 when i put another cheeky tenner on after saturday night, but now he is $8 ????
On Crown? Reckon we should email them and say what's the go.
Think Cripps was $17, but that sounds too high, so maybe these pricks are cheating.
Do crown bet let you cash out brownlow bets?
Not sure about that one?
Interesting. If they are in fact freezing the markets wouldnt it make sense to place your bet before round 4 ends?
They're not freezing the odds from the start of the season until round 4. They're freezing the odds during the round, for four rounds.
If Dusty was $10 before last nights match he'll still be $10 now as the round has not finished. Upon completion of the round they will then change his odds.
My votes for the games I watched this weekend.
1 vote 2 votes 3 votes
Adelaide v Richmond R.Laird D.Martin J.Jenkins
North Melbourne v St Kilda T.Goldstein J.Waite B.Brown
Fremantle v Essendon M.Walters D.Mundy N.Fyfe
Geelong v Hawthorn P.Dangerfield B.McEvoy T.Mitchell
Not too sure who to give the one to for this afternoon's game. Really think any of Geelong's big 3 could end up with it.
Titch robbed
Round 2
Crows (118) vs Tigers (82) Laird 3 Martin 2 Jenkins 1
Roos (95) vs Saints (43) Goldstein 3 Brown 2 Waite 1
Blues (67) vs Suns (101) Lynch 3 Lyons 2 Curnow 1
Pies (79) vs Giants (95) Coniglio 3 Grundy 2 Whitfield 1
Lions (74) vs Dees (100) Hogan 3 Oliver 2 Garlett 1
Dockers (106) vs Bombers (90) Fyfe 3 Walters 2 Mundy 1
Dogs (70) vs Eagles (121) Hurn 3 Lycett 2 Ryan 1
Swans (71) vs Power (94) Wines 3 Gray 2 Westhoff 1
Cats (117) vs Hawks (118) Mitchell 3 Danger 2 Ablett 1
Conigs and Titch both leading on 6 votes.
Round 3
Blues (76) vs Pies (100) Grundy 3 Sidebottom 2 Murphy 1
Power (97) vs Lions (92) Martin 3 Polec 2 S. Gray 1
Dees (123) vs Roos (86) Gawn 3 Hogan 2 Jones 1
Suns (68) vs Dockers (96) Fyfe 3 Walters 2 Lyon 1
Swans (103) vs Giants (87) Sincalir 3 Franklin 2 Coniglio 1
Saints (55) vs Crows (104) Laird 3 Gibbs 2 Ross 1
Tigers (102) vs Hawks (89) Mitchell 3 Cotchin 2 Riewoldt 1
Dogs (104) vs Bombers (83) Hunter 3 Macrae 2 Williams 1
Eagles (95) vs Cats (80) Gaff 3 Sheed 2 Ryan 1
Titch 9, Laird/Conigs 7, Fyfe 6, Dusty/Franklin/Hogan/Grundy 5
Do we reckon Mitchell is in trouble? Have a $115 cash out offer on him from my $100 bet at the moment
Quote from: WhatMate on April 23, 2018, 11:24:34 AM
Do we reckon Mitchell is in trouble? Have a $115 cash out offer on him from my $100 bet at the moment
Barely even worth a fine.
Quote from: meow meow on April 23, 2018, 11:48:38 AM
Quote from: WhatMate on April 23, 2018, 11:24:34 AM
Do we reckon Mitchell is in trouble? Have a $115 cash out offer on him from my $100 bet at the moment
Barely even worth a fine.
Barely even worth a 50!
Quote from: elephants on April 23, 2018, 11:56:04 AM
Quote from: meow meow on April 23, 2018, 11:48:38 AM
Quote from: WhatMate on April 23, 2018, 11:24:34 AM
Do we reckon Mitchell is in trouble? Have a $115 cash out offer on him from my $100 bet at the moment
Barely even worth a fine.
Barely even worth a 50!
This is what I thought, but everyone on Twitter is saying a week due to Jack Graham's incident (which I didn't see). Surely not, he went to elbow the guy in the shoulder, but looked like he slipped too high?
Thought id find this thred and give my first update for the year. My leadsrboard to the end of round 7 as below.
12 - N.Fyfe, T.Mitchell
11 -
10 - J.Macrae
9 - P.Cripps, A.Gaff
8 - M.Gawn, JP.Kennedy
7 - J.Hogan, D.Martin
6 - B.Grundy, S.Sidebottom, A.Treloar, S.Coniglio, C.Oliver, B.Brown, S.Higgins, L.Franklin
5 - R.Laird, R.Douglas, D.Heppell, J.Sicily, J.Westhoff, R.Gray, T.Cotchin, K.Lambert, J.Steven, L.Parker
Quote from: dmac07 on May 07, 2018, 11:26:14 PM
Thought id find this thred and give my first update for the year. My leadsrboard to the end of round 7 as below.
12 - N.Fyfe, T.Mitchell
11 -
10 - J.Macrae
9 - P.Cripps, A.Gaff
8 - M.Gawn, JP.Kennedy
7 - J.Hogan, D.Martin
6 - B.Grundy, S.Sidebottom, A.Treloar, S.Coniglio, C.Oliver, B.Brown, S.Higgins, L.Franklin
5 - R.Laird, R.Douglas, D.Heppell, J.Sicily, J.Westhoff, R.Gray, T.Cotchin, K.Lambert, J.Steven, L.Parker
Pretty similar to mine, but I have Coniglio up there with Fyfe and Mitchell.
My current standings up to round 8 of what I can remember not having my spreadsheet on me with some thoughts.
Fyfe â€" 15 votes (proven vote getter and had some huge games)
Mitchell â€" 14 votes (Multiple BOG's early on puts him up there)
Macrae/Coniglio/Gawn â€" 12 votes (Coniglio will prob be a bit more under the radar from the umps perspective but great value, Gawn is a ruckman so won't get the votes he deserves, Macrae dominates and puts quite a gap between him and next BOG)
Gaff â€" 11 (quietly getting the job done, but has he been too quiet for umps to notice him)
End of round 10
Fyfe/Mitchell - 17
Gaff - 15
Grundy/Macrae - 13
Gawn/Coniglio - 12
Danger/Hogan/Heppell - 10
I'd be chucking a free bet on Gaff at $26 to win right now.
Anyone else doing a count this year? ???
Quote from: jvalles69 on June 14, 2018, 01:19:02 PM
Anyone else doing a count this year? ???
I am
The first 6 rounds i only watched the Hawks games and maybe 1 or 2 more
seen alot more lately but going back to only Hawks games and the odd one when i start my new job
Il tally mine up and post it soon
Every player over 10
Some weird names
Titch didnt vote for me in a coupla games were he got monster touches
Nat Fyfe 16
Tom Mitchell 13
Jack Macrae 13
Pat Cripps 12
Jesse Hogan 12 ( ??? ??? ??? ??? ??? ??? )
Trent Cotchin 11
Issac Heeney 11
Jack Darling 11
Gary Ablett 10
I'm pretty sure I have Hogan leading the Dees as well, not sure what I have him on though. Think there will finally be some decent value this year in team voting multi's. I'd also keep track of player you think are locked to get the 3 votes as I made most of my money on single game voting last season. You only need to hit a couple of good ones, Had Shuey to get 3 in a game where he was paying $11 and Goldy to get 3 when he was paying $15! :o
Quote from: jvalles69 on June 15, 2018, 11:39:50 AM
I'm pretty sure I have Hogan leading the Dees as well, not sure what I have him on though. Think there will finally be some decent value this year in team voting multi's. I'd also keep track of player you think are locked to get the 3 votes as I made most of my money on single game voting last season. You only need to hit a couple of good ones, Had Shuey to get 3 in a game where he was paying $11 and Goldy to get 3 when he was paying $15! :o
Haha wowzer that is too juicy :P
https://brownlowtracker.com.au (https://brownlowtracker.com.au)
Just stumbled on this
looks great and has everything you need, nice looking leaderboards as well
Correction, I have Gawn (14) ahead of Hogan (10).
Quote from: Hawka on June 17, 2018, 05:56:47 PM
https://brownlowtracker.com.au (https://brownlowtracker.com.au)
Just stumbled on this
looks great and has everything you need, nice looking leaderboards as well
Nice, started inputting my results in last night, free too! Some barbies collate other peoples results and then charge for them.
My current count.
19 - N.Fyfe
17 - T.Mitchell
16 - JP.Kennedy
13 - J.Macrae, A.Gaff
12 - E.Yeo
11 - S.Coniglio, B.Grundy
10 - P.Cripps, D.Heppell, G.Ablett, M.Gawn, R.Gray, T.Cotchin
Some interesting team scores
Adelaide: 5 - Seedesman, Gibbs, Douglas. 4 - Laird
Coll: 11 - Grundy. 9 - Sidebottom. 8 - DeGoey
Geel: 10 - Ablett. 9 - Dangerfield. 7 - Selwood
GC: 4 - Lyons, Swallow
Melb: 10 - Gawn. 9 - Hogan. 6 - Oliver, McDonald
NM: 8 - Higgins 7 -Brown. 6 - Waite
PA: 10 - Gray. 9 - Wines
Rich: 10 - Cotchin. 9 - Martin, Caddy
How are the tallies looking? Feel like it’s a bit odd that Gawn is 2nd favourite
Just updated mine today and have it a closer count thab in years!
19 - Fyfe*, Mitchell, Gaff
18 -
17 - Gawn, JP.Kennedy
16 -
15 - Cripps, Grundy
14 - Beams, Higgins
13 - Heppell, Macrae, Yeo
12 - Selwood, Coniglio, Oliver, D.Martin
11 - Sidebottom, Ward, Wines
10 - Ablett, Dangerfield, R.Gray, Cotchin, Steven
9 - Pendlebury, Neale, Sicily, Omeara, Hogan, Westhoff, Caddy, Franklin, Heeney.
Gaff has been next level, I think he'll top our votes and go top 5.. maybe top 3 depending on his polling record in previous seasons!
Quote from: elephants on July 16, 2018, 11:49:57 PM
Gaff has been next level, I think he'll top our votes and go top 5.. maybe top 3 depending on his polling record in previous seasons!
I had the opportunity to bet on Gaff when he was $26 to win and $7.25 to place
Probably going to regret not acting on that :-\
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on July 16, 2018, 11:58:24 PM
Quote from: elephants on July 16, 2018, 11:49:57 PM
Gaff has been next level, I think he'll top our votes and go top 5.. maybe top 3 depending on his polling record in previous seasons!
I had the opportunity to bet on Gaff when he was $26 to win and $7.25 to place
Probably going to regret not acting on that :-\
I got on him at the 26s the week before Fyfe got suspended so Im hoping he gets up!
Quote from: dmac07 on July 17, 2018, 08:38:33 AM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on July 16, 2018, 11:58:24 PM
Quote from: elephants on July 16, 2018, 11:49:57 PM
Gaff has been next level, I think he'll top our votes and go top 5.. maybe top 3 depending on his polling record in previous seasons!
I had the opportunity to bet on Gaff when he was $26 to win and $7.25 to place
Probably going to regret not acting on that :-\
I got on him at the 26s the week before Fyfe got suspended so Im hoping he gets up!
hes still at $11 on bet365, grabbed him at $2 for top 5 and $2.66 for top 3 on betfair yesterday.
Looking at games left to play for the season, I think the draw favours Gaff and Mitchell To be poised for a top 2 finish.
Any quinella markets anywhere?
Would say dusty gets 3 votes Friday night. Tipping him to come home strong in preparation for a big September. With a bit of umpire bias on his side, I really like the $2.50 you can get for him to finish top 5 on betfair.
Media saying Cripps is in the mix...I'm pretty certain he is going to be the guy who doesn't poll close to as well as people think. Not top 3, prob not even top 5.
May as well rename this thread to Titchell 2018.
Round 19
25 - T.Mitchell
21 - A.Gaff
19 - N.Fyfe**
18 - B.Grundy, P.Cripps, JP.Kennedy
17 - M.Gawn, C.Oliver, E.Yeo
16 - D.Heppell
15 - D.Beams
14 - S.Coniglio, S.Higgins, J.Macrae, D.Martin
13 - S.Pendlebury
12 - G.Ablett, J.Selwood, J.Kelly
11 - S.Sidebottom, P.Dangerfield, O.Wines, C.Ward, B.Cunnington
10 - J.Omeara, L.Bruest, J.DeGoey, R.Gray, T.Cotchin, J.Steven
9 - Z.Merrett, D.Smith, L.Neale, L.Whitfield, J.Sicily, J.Hogan, J.Caddy, L.Franklin, I.Heeney, J.Darling
Up to Round 19
33 - Mitchell
25 - Gaff
22 - Gawn
21 - Dusty/Grundy
19 - Heppell/Fyfe
18 - Danger
17 - Jelwood
15 - Cripps/Coniglio/Oliver/Beams/Macrae
14 - Yeo/Ablett
13 - Merrett/Higgins
Reckon Titch has to be a chance to break Martin's record.
Even though he gets an insane amount of the ball he's not really a big game breaker.
I'd love to see Gawny up there with a chance.
Quote from: Trindacut on August 05, 2018, 08:01:49 PM
Even though he gets an insane amount of the ball he's not really a big game breaker.
I'd love to see Gawny up there with a chance.
I think if the balance of votes goes heavy one way guys from WC and Melbourne a chance. Gaff/Yeo splitting a lot votes. Gawn/Oliver, and Grundy/Pendlebury/Sidebottom too.
Gaff done now though, looking at 5 weeks. Not happy, had him at 30 the win, 10 the place.
(https://i.gyazo.com/238495d019cc356771a348352b30afea.png)
14 for Oliver in the last 5 :o
Work means my vote count isnt very accurate haha
but i have a crack
Quote from: Hawka on August 08, 2018, 01:00:11 AM
Work means my vote count isnt very accurate haha
but i have a crack
Haha not having a go or anything, just surprised
AFL Brownlow tracker has him polling 12 votes in the last 5 so you could be on the money
Will be interesting to see how he polls this year, not sure if he’s flashy enough to be noticed just yet
Round 20
27 - T.Mitchell
26 -
25 -
24 -
23 - A.Gaff
22 -
21 -
20 - B.Grundy, C.Oliver, E.Yeo
19 - N.Fyfe**
18 - P.Cripps, JP.Kennedy
17 - M.Gawn,
16 - D.Heppell, S.Coniglio, J.Macrae
15 - D.Beams, J.Kelly
14 - S.Higgins, D.Martin
13 - S.Pendlebury
12 - G.Ablett, J.Selwood, P.Dangerfield, C.Ward, L.Franklin
11 - S.Sidebottom, O.Wines, B.Cunnington, R.Gray, J.Gunston
10 - J.Omeara, L.Bruest, J.DeGoey T.Cotchin, J.Steven, Z.Merrett, J.Hogan, K.Lambert
9 - D.Smith, L.Neale, L.Whitfield, J.Sicily, J.Caddy, L.Franklin, I.Heeney, J.Darling, M.Crouch, D.Zorko, J.Westhoff
Also habe Oliver coming home with a storm, J.kelly too. With Gaff gone I dont think there is anyone who can catch Mitchell now though. I thinl Yeo is actually the best chance, could've stolen some votes to Gaff, and will play a lot of midfield and get a potential few extra votes over the last few weeks without Gaff. Will be fascinated to see how close I am on my Gawn and Grundy votes too.
My team count up to Round 22.
(http://i8.photobucket.com/albums/a48/jvalles69/Brownlow%20teams%202018_zpsqjjwqneq.png) (http://s8.photobucket.com/user/jvalles69/media/Brownlow%20teams%202018_zpsqjjwqneq.png.html)
anyone know a company that you can multi them cant on sb
Quote from: jvalles69 on August 22, 2018, 09:19:32 PM
My team count up to Round 22.
(http://i8.photobucket.com/albums/a48/jvalles69/Brownlow%20teams%202018_zpsqjjwqneq.png) (http://s8.photobucket.com/user/jvalles69/media/Brownlow%20teams%202018_zpsqjjwqneq.png.html)
Titch 37??
Yeah I've prob got Titch a bit high, but with some of the games he's played and the mountains of football he's collected I wouldn't be surprised if he's right near that mark. I also tend to give the big names votes when there aren't any real stand outs.
Ryno's After R22
Titch 28
Oliver 22
Grundy 21
Gaff 20
Fyfe 20
Yeo 20
Gawn 20
others 18 and below.
Wll now im really worried about Dusty :-\
My final count.
37 - Mitchell
29 - Dusty
28 - Danger/Grundy
26 - Gawn/Gaff*
22 - Heppell
21 - Beams
20 - Yeo
19 - Heppell/Fyfe*/Selwood/Oliver/Macrae
Quote from: jvalles69 on August 26, 2018, 09:26:29 PM
My final count.
37 - Mitchell
29 - Dusty
28 - Danger/Grundy
26 - Gawn/Gaff*
22 - Heppell
21 - Beams
20 - Yeo
19 - Heppell/Fyfe*/Selwood/Oliver/Macrae
Not too different to mine except the extra 10 votes for Mitchell! Can't see him being quite that high, I think 30 is probably his top end. Also have Selwood much lower.
Final Count:
28 - T.Mitchell
27 - B.Grundy
26 -
25 -
24 -
23 - E.Yeo, M.Gawn, A.Gaff*
22 -
21 -
20 - J.Macrae, D.Beams, C.Oliver
19 - N.Fyfe*, D.Martin
18 - P.Cripps, P.Dangerfield, JP.Kennedy
17 - S.Coniglio
16 - D.Heppell
15 - J.Kelly, A.Brayshaw, S.Higgins
14 - S.Pendlebury, Z.Merrett, J.Gunston, L.Franklin
13 - G.Ablett, C.Ward
12 - M.Crouch, S.Sidebottom, L.Neale, J.Selwood, J.Westhoff, I.Heeney, L.Whitfield, J.Steven
11 - R.Laird, D.Smith, R.Gray, O.Wines, J.Caddy, B.Cunnington
10 - J.DeGoey, T.Kelly, J.Omeara, L.Bruest, K.Lambert, T.Cotchin, L.Parker
SB allowing team multi's yew!
Who does everyone have winning the Gold Coast count?
Quote from: fanTCfool on September 01, 2018, 12:55:15 PM
Who does everyone have winning the Gold Coast count?
flowering avoid at all cost! If I had too, I'd go Swallow as he's prob has a higher chance of polling in more games, but then again someone like Fiorini could pull a 3 out of his arse. Gonna post all my bets so far in a sec...
Sportsbet
Multi: Crouch (no Laird), Zorko (no Beams), Simpson (no Cripps), Grundy, Heppell, Fyfe, Danger, Coniglio, Gawn, Gray, Ross (no Steven), Gaff - $5 @ 125:1
Multi: Crouch (no Laird), Zorko (no Beams), Grundy, Hepell, Fyfe, Danger, Gaff - $30 @ 14:1
Multi: Crouch, Zorko (no Beams), Grundy, Fyfe, Danger, Gray, Ross (no Steven), Gaff - $5 @ 65:1
Multi: Zorko (no Beams), Crouch (no Laird), Grundy, Danger, Gray, Gaff - $15 @ 10:1
Multi: Zorko (no Beams), Crouch (no Laird), Grundy, Danger, Gray, Gaff - $30 @ 17:1
Neds
Multi - Heppell, Danger, Laird, Simpson (no Cripps), Grundy, Gawn, Gaff - $10 @ 18:1
Mids Group B - Danger $20 @ 4.5:1
Skippers - Zorko $20 @ 3:1
Defenders - Lloyd $20 @ 3.5:1
Mids Group A - Gaff $20 @ 6:1
BetEasy
Most votes 18-23: Danger $10 @ 10:1
Mitchell to win by 8+ votes: $10 @ 15:1
Group A: Danger $10 @ 4.5:1
Group B: Kelly $10 @ 8:1
Group H: Crouch $10 @ 4:1
Suns players to poll: 9 or less $25 (bonus bet) @ 4:1
why u not got any with yeo
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 01, 2018, 07:17:57 PM
why u not got any with yeo
Cos I've got Gaff ahead of Yeo and haven't seen any counts where Yeo is beating Gaff...
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 01, 2018, 08:22:49 PM
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 01, 2018, 07:17:57 PM
why u not got any with yeo
Cos I've got Gaff ahead of Yeo and haven't seen any counts where Yeo is beating Gaff...
fair enough just asked cause dmac has him tied with gaff
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 01, 2018, 08:22:49 PM
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 01, 2018, 07:17:57 PM
why u not got any with yeo
Cos I've got Gaff ahead of Yeo and haven't seen any counts where Yeo is beating Gaff...
I haven't seen any counts where Gaff is beating Yeo...
http://www.afl.com.au/brownlow-medal/predictor
http://www.phantombrownlowmedal.com.au/phantom-brownlow-standings
You can completely disregard the AFL Brownlow Predictor because it's complete and utter rubbish IMO.
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on September 02, 2018, 12:12:08 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 01, 2018, 08:22:49 PM
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 01, 2018, 07:17:57 PM
why u not got any with yeo
Cos I've got Gaff ahead of Yeo and haven't seen any counts where Yeo is beating Gaff...
I haven't seen any counts where Gaff is beating Yeo...
http://www.afl.com.au/brownlow-medal/predictor
http://www.phantombrownlowmedal.com.au/phantom-brownlow-standings
See below...
QuoteYou can completely disregard the AFL Brownlow Predictor because it's complete and utter rubbish IMO.
And you're going to trust Phantom when they are the only group saying Mitchell is not a lock?!? :o
Not saying mine is right, but I've taken my time to do votes all year (every year), use a website that averages out counts done like people like me and far trust that over some of these polls. Wrong or right, I'm happy to back myself.
does anyone have Coniglio leading after round 5?
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 14, 2018, 12:24:02 AM
does anyone have Coniglio leading after round 5?
i learnt it's not worth betting on those as ties are pretty common
Gaff in group A on SB looks an easy @4.00
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 14, 2018, 12:24:02 AM
does anyone have Coniglio leading after round 5?
I do, but most of the bets are after round 6 which is a little closer.
QuoteGaff in group A on SB looks an easy @4.00
Pretty sure I saw that too and on it.
Pretty interesting page I found, bases his votes including historical over and under estimations over the past 8 years of Brownlow voting.
https://fatstats.shinyapps.io/charlie/
Is that guy taking the piss? Titch on 41.5? Not a chance.
Quote from: fanTCfool on September 14, 2018, 06:18:17 PM
Is that guy taking the piss? Titch on 41.5? Not a chance.
Think he's taking into account how the umps vote over history, players who rack up big disposal numbers get votes. I do think his prediction is high, but I have Mitchell on 37 and I've stated I purposefully lean towards history too. His results are more interesting for the team votes though.
Quote from: fanTCfool on September 14, 2018, 06:18:17 PM
Is that guy taking the piss? Titch on 41.5? Not a chance.
Sure is considering Mitchell won’t even win...
Just out of curiosity does everyone else have Mitchell winning comfortably!?
Quote from: fanTCfool on September 14, 2018, 06:18:17 PM
Is that guy taking the piss? Titch on 41.5? Not a chance.
Has Cripps on like 8 votes;
Immediately loses credibility. Cripps is Jesus to the umpires.
Quote from: Money Shot on September 15, 2018, 11:06:47 AM
Just out of curiosity does everyone else have Mitchell winning comfortably!?
have seen some where its very close
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 15, 2018, 07:23:38 PM
Quote from: Money Shot on September 15, 2018, 11:06:47 AM
Just out of curiosity does everyone else have Mitchell winning comfortably!?
have seen some where its very close
I have Titch winning by like 6 I think but have severely underrated Cripps got him on less then 20 votes
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 16, 2018, 09:53:44 PM
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 15, 2018, 07:23:38 PM
Quote from: Money Shot on September 15, 2018, 11:06:47 AM
Just out of curiosity does everyone else have Mitchell winning comfortably!?
have seen some where its very close
I have Titch winning by like 6 I think but have severely underrated Cripps got him on less then 20 votes
Ive got Mitchell winning by one on 28, from Grundy 27, and Yeo/Gaff/Gawn all 23. Grundy and Gawn are hard ones to quantify, but historically umpires dont notice hit outs as much as they do around the ground work. Thats wjy I think Grundy is ahead of Hawn and can win it, as he gets his 20 touches and is top 10-15 in the comp for contested balls and clearances. Whereas Gawns greatest influence is in dominating hit outs which I dont think catches the eye of umpires as much. I habe Cripps back on 18 but I also find him hard to place, could be anywhere from 14 to 28 i think.
I'll say it again, Cripps is going to be that guy who's game doesn't translate to votes this season. He'll be lucky to finish top 10.
Mitchell will romp it home, but would've made for a much more interesting count if he had been rubbed out for punching Goldy.
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 14, 2018, 02:48:20 AM
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 14, 2018, 12:24:02 AM
does anyone have Coniglio leading after round 5?
i learnt it's not worth betting on those as ties are pretty common
Round 5
9 - Fyfe
8 - Mitchell
7 - Martin
6 - Cripps, Coniglio, B.Brown, Franklin, Macrae, Grundy, Sidebottom
Quote from: dmac07 on September 18, 2018, 11:02:42 AM
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 16, 2018, 09:53:44 PM
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 15, 2018, 07:23:38 PM
Quote from: Money Shot on September 15, 2018, 11:06:47 AM
Just out of curiosity does everyone else have Mitchell winning comfortably!?
have seen some where its very close
I have Titch winning by like 6 I think but have severely underrated Cripps got him on less then 20 votes
Ive got Mitchell winning by one on 28, from Grundy 27, and Yeo/Gaff/Gawn all 23. Grundy and Gawn are hard ones to quantify, but historically umpires dont notice hit outs as much as they do around the ground work. Thats wjy I think Grundy is ahead of Hawn and can win it, as he gets his 20 touches and is top 10-15 in the comp for contested balls and clearances. Whereas Gawns greatest influence is in dominating hit outs which I dont think catches the eye of umpires as much. I habe Cripps back on 18 but I also find him hard to place, could be anywhere from 14 to 28 i think.
Because I generally follow history and predict what umps think. Then added media hype. I have the ruckman flying home but both missing top 10.
Found myself surprised when Oliver come third in my count
ADELAIDE
12
M.Crouch
11
R.Laird
6
R.Sloane
5
B.Gibbs
P.Seedsman
R.Douglas
4
T.Walker
H.Greenwood
3
R.Atkins
T.Lynch
C.Ellis-Yolam
E.Betts
J.Jenkins
2
B.Smith
M.McGovern
I really like Crouch in the outright market at $5.50. The half backs that accumulate just dont attract votes. Will be in a lot of my multis. Can back Crouch in the without Laird market as a fairly sure thing. Whatever you do just dont back Laird at <1.20
BRISBANE
20
D.Beams
9
D.Zorko
4
S.Martin
3
J.Berry
2
T.Cutler
L.Hodge
H.Andrews
E.Hipwood
H.McLuggage
1
C.Rayner
A.Witherdan
Zorko at 1.14 in the withiut Beams market should easily get it. Worth adding into the short multis.
CARLTON
18
P.Cripps
4
K.Simpson
3
E.Curnow
2
C.CurnoW
D.Thomas
M.Murphy
Not much value here, maybe E.Curnow at $10 in without Cripps market but probably will avoid.
COLLINGWOOD
27
B.Grundy
14
S.Pendlebury
12
S.Sidebottom
10
J.DeGoey
7
A.Treloar
T.Adams
6
T.Phillips
2
M.Scharenberg
J.Howe
J.Thomas
J.Stephenson
1
M.Cox
J.Crisp
I may habe Grundy slightly high and Sidebottom slightly low but should still be an easy Grundy win. Good for the shorter multis at 1.25.
Good stuff dmac, making me more confident in my own count. Grundy already into $1.25?? I got on the day multi's were released and had him at $2.50!
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 18, 2018, 03:11:54 PM
Good stuff dmac, making me more confident in my own count. Grundy already into $1.25?? I got on the day multi's were released and had him at $2.50!
Pretty upset I didnt jump on sooner, was just busy and put it off. I got him at 1.40.
16
D.Heppell
14
Z.Merrett
11
D.Smith
4
D.Zaharakis
O.Fantasia
3
D.Myers
S.McKerna
J.Stringer
A.Mcdonald-Tiungwuti
2
A.Saad
1
A.Francis
M.Hurley
Probably a two horse race between Heppell and Merrett who will poll well late. Heppell 1.33, Merrett 3.25, probably about right, not a heap of value. Saw a predictor count with Heppell on 23 votes, Merrett 20 :o Seems way overs.
FREMANTLE
19
N.Fyfe
12
L.Neale
5
D.Mundy
4
M.Walters
3
E.Langdon
A.Cerra
2
B.Cox
B.Hill
1
L.Ryan
C.Blakely
N.Wilson
Fyfe takes it easily, even at $1.10 can add to multis for a little extra value. Seen one count with Neale only one votes behind bit think thats way off. Mpst of Neales good games were when Freo was getting hammered.
GEELONG
18
P.Dangerfield
13
G.Ablett
12
J.Selwood
10
T.Kelly
9
T.Hawkins
6
S.Menegola
M.Duncan
3
B.Parfitt
T.Stewert
2
D.Menzel
1
J.Henry
G.Horlin-Smith
Dangerfield at $1.14 for the shorter multis. Saw one predictor with Danger/Selwood both hitting 20+, can see Selwood getting close to that.
GOLD COAST
5
J.Lyons
A.Young
B.Fiorini
4
D.Swallow
3
T.Lynch
2
S.May
T.Miller
1
J.Witts
Who the hell knows on Gold Coast, could be anyone and could be won with as little as 4 votes. Fiorini only potential value at $12 maybe worth a small bet.
Fiorini super value, him and Ben Brown are 2 sneaky single bets I have placed.
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 18, 2018, 05:09:35 PM
Fiorini super value, him and Ben Brown are 2 sneaky single bets I have placed.
Ill get to the rest of the temas later but Westhoff is my sneaky value!
Struggling to find a lot of value
Beams Top 5 and Yeo Top 5 I might have a dabble on
Crouch most Ade votes $4.50 a sneaky chance
Hoff at $15 for the lulz why not
Other than that, can't see too much I like :-\
Titch/Dusty Quinella $3.50 and Titch/Gawn Quinella $5 maybe worth a bet too
GWS
17
S.Coniglio
15
J.Kelly
13
C.Ward
12
L.Whitfield
3
T.Greene
M.Deboer
D.Shiel
T.Taranto
2
J.Cameron
1
H.Shaw
Probably Coniglio, maybe Ward. Kelly is easy to pick as his votes are pretty clear, will get within one or two of that prediction. Coniglio should get it but Ward a better poller. Still stick with Coniglio at $1.70, good multi value. Wouldnt surprise if he goes 20-22 votes.
My team winners and top 10
Adelaide - Rory Laird (16)
Brisbane - Dayne Beams (23)
Carlton - Patrick Cripps (19)
Collingwood - Steele Sidebottom (19)
Essendon - Zach Merrett (20)
Fremantle - Nathan Fyfe (19)
Geelong - Patrick Dangerfield (24)
Gold Coast - David Swallow/Jarryd Lyons (5)
GWS - Stephen Coniglio/Josh Kelly (17)
Hawthorn - Tom Mitchell (31)
Melbourne - Clayton Oliver (26)
North Melbourne - Shaun Higgins (14)
Port Adelaide - Oliver Wines (14)
Richmond - Dustin Martin (30)
St Kilda - Jack Steven (12)
Sydney - Lance Franklin (16)
West Coast - Andrew Gaff (24)
Western Bulldogs - Jack Macrae (22)
1 - T. Mitchell (31)
2 - D. Martin (30)
3 - C. Oliver (26)
4 - P. Dangerfield (24)
4 - A. Gaff (24)
6 - E. Yeo (23)
6 - D. Beams (23)
8 - J. Macrae (22)
9 - M. Gawn (20)
9 - Z. Merrett (20)
Was so clueless what to do with Gawn and Grundy. Think they both fly home but I was all over Goldy for top 10 in his good year and struggled. 18 for Grundy and 20 for Gawn but have both being beaten by midfielders. That extra media hype has me worried
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 19, 2018, 09:31:51 PM
Was so clueless what to do with Gawn and Grundy. Think they both fly home but I was all over Goldy for top 10 in his good year and struggled. 18 for Grundy and 20 for Gawn but have both being beaten by midfielders. That extra media hype has me worried
Yeah it's got me freaked out now too as I have them top 5!
I'm going to keep a record from this year of the actual votes to see how far off I am and adjust for next year.
Quote from: dmac07 on September 18, 2018, 07:37:08 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 18, 2018, 05:09:35 PM
Fiorini super value, him and Ben Brown are 2 sneaky single bets I have placed.
Ill get to the rest of the temas later but Westhoff is my sneaky value!
Beteasy not even offering Westhoff as an option
Falls under the any other player at $6
Fiorini and Aaron Young fall under the $2.10 any other for suns to
flower looks like im not using them for the brownlow
Quote from: Hawka on September 20, 2018, 10:34:09 AM
Quote from: dmac07 on September 18, 2018, 07:37:08 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 18, 2018, 05:09:35 PM
Fiorini super value, him and Ben Brown are 2 sneaky single bets I have placed.
Ill get to the rest of the temas later but Westhoff is my sneaky value!
Beteasy not even offering Westhoff as an option
Falls under the any other player at $6
Fiorini and Aaron Young fall under the $2.10 any other for suns to
flower looks like im not using them for the brownlow
Try Ned or SB.
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 19, 2018, 09:31:51 PM
Was so clueless what to do with Gawn and Grundy. Think they both fly home but I was all over Goldy for top 10 in his good year and struggled. 18 for Grundy and 20 for Gawn but have both being beaten by midfielders. That extra media hype has me worried
I got Grundy at 70s during the year and pretty hopeful on his chances. I think the around the ground work he does is ahead of what nearly any other ruckman has done which is why I give him a solid chance of winning it.
That being said, Gawn and Grundy could both miss top 10, though it would be a huge injustice and highlight the flaws of the Brownlow as a reward.
HAWTHORN
28
T.Mitchell
14
J.Gunston
10
J.Omeara
L.Bruest
9
J.Sicily
6
L.Shiels
I.Smith
4
B.McEvoy
3
S.Burgoyne
1
P.Puopolo
J.Worpel
I may have Omera a little low but I really like Gunston in the odds (w/o Mitchell). Paying $9 behind Omera, Bruest and Sicily. Will back outright and in a few multis.
MELBOURNE
23
M.Gawn
20
C.Oliver
15
A.Brayshaw
9
J.Hogan
6
T.McDonald
5
J.Viney
3
N.Jones
J.Melksham
2
C.Salem
J.Harmes
A.Neal-Bullen
1
C.Petracca
It will be Gawn or Oliver. Probably a little too close to back with any confidence as several games where they are competing for votes that could edge either way.
NORTH MELBOURNE
15
S.Higgins
11
B.Cunningotn
7
B.Brown
6
J.Waite
J.Ziebell
5
J.Anderson
4
T.Dumont
3
K.Turner
T.Goldstein
2
R.Tarrent
P.Ahern
1
M.Wood
L.McDonald
Higgins probably takes it but way too short at $1.08. Cunnington a realistic chance at $6.50
PORT ADELAIDE
12
J.Westhoff
11
R.Gray
O.Wines
5
J.Polec
T.Rockliff
4
C.Dixon
S.Gray
C.Wingard
3
R.Bonner
S.Powel-Pepper
S.Motlop
2
T.Boak
T.Jonas
1
J.Watts
H.Hartlett
Think Grays votes are fairly clear as his either easily in the votes are a long way off. Westhoff harder to predict but for a big guy plays through the mids a lot and can catch the umpires eye. Avoid Gray/Wines, going Westhoff at $12 as one of my best bets.
RICHMOND
19
D.Martin
11
J.Caddy
10
T.Cotchin
K.Lambert
8
J.Riewoldt
7
S.Edwards
3
B.Houli
N.Vlaustin
D.Prestia
2
J.Short
S.Grigg
1
R.Conca
T.Nankervis
Hard to pick after Martin. Caddy the best value of the w/o Martin market at $9. Though I may have underestimated Cotchin. Tigers hard to pick as they have such even contributors in wins and often oppositiin players would have big games despite losing that could steal votes.
Don't have Martin in overall contention like Aa lot of others do.
ST KILDA
12
J.Steven
5
S.Ross
3
J.Billings
J.Steele
2
B.Acres
J.Carlisle
1
T.Membrey
J.Gresham
Steven wins, Ross probably in the without Steven market. Not a lot of value or certainty so will probably avoid.
SYDNEY
18
J.Kennedy
14
L.Franklin
12
I.Heeney
10
L.Parker
9
J.Lloyd
5
B.Ronke
3
C.Sinclair
1
G.Hewett
Kennedy great value at $2.50 and pretty confident he takes it. Heeney his biggest challenger not Franklin I think, was hard to judge Heeney, doesn't have the polling history yet but could poll well early. Kennedy will be in a lot of my multis
WESTERN BULLDOGS
20
J.Macrae
9
M.Bontempelli
6
J.Dunkley
L.Hunter
4
T.McLean
3
J.Johanissen
Even at $1.07 Macrae can add some multi value, absolute certainty.
WEST COAST
23
A.Gaff
E.Yeo
9
J.Darling
L.Shuey
7
J.McGovern
6
J.Redden
3
J.Kennedy
S.Hurn
2
D.Sheed
1
C.Masten
J.Cripps
Gaff/Yeo then daylight. Not backing either in the team markets but added Yeo to some of my trifectas and for top 3/5/10 finish all at good value. Think he will be this years surprise as a contender to win it.
Liking Cogs to lead after round 5, Westhoff for PA most votes and Grundy most votes 15-23 as good value.
Reckon Grundy has to be a sneaky chance he has had a stellar year and it's time for an upset win ;) hate to say it but it's the year of the Pies.
Quote from: shaker on September 23, 2018, 02:18:43 PM
Reckon Grundy has to be a sneaky chance he has had a stellar year and it's time for an upset win ;) hate to say it but it's the year of the Pies.
Im quietly confident Grundy can give it a shake for reasons I've already outlined. Also a Pies fan and backed Grundy at 67s.. neither of which cloud my judgement 8)
I've also got a few of my bets onto Sportsbet under the BYO brownlow.
Mitchell, Grundy, Gawn, Yeo - Top 4 Any Order (Exc Ineligible) $34
Mitchell, Grundy, Gawn, Yeo, Gaff - Top 5 any order $151
Gawn/Oliver to combine for 40 or more votes $1.85
Gaff and Yeo both 20 or more. $5
Cripps not to make top 10 - $8
I dont like the odds they gave me on Gaff/Yeo, but like all the others. Especially Gawn/Oliver, fighting for the same votes so no matter the split they should get there.
Is that Cripps one excluding ineligible?
Just the Michell/Martin Quinella @3.50 with no confidence.
Quote from: Big Mac on September 23, 2018, 05:12:44 PM
Is that Cripps one excluding ineligible?
I'd like to know too, because that's a juicy one.
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 23, 2018, 07:12:41 PM
Quote from: Big Mac on September 23, 2018, 05:12:44 PM
Is that Cripps one excluding ineligible?
I'd like to know too, because that's a juicy one.
I wrote it including ineligible but they didnt specify in the market. Gaff should finish ahead of him and maybe Fyfe so it makes a difference.
If anyones interested on some round betting, these are the ones I'm fairly confident on, if anyone wants to correlate it would be good to see if we match.
Confident
Rd 1
Dusty $2.25
Coniglio $3
Rd 4
O'Meara $3.50
Rd 6
Ebert $10
Rd 12
De Goey $1.85
Rd 13
Wines $2
Yeo $1.60
Rd 15
Simpson $1.60
Beams $1.55
Rd 16
Wingard $1.60
Rd 18
Crouch $1.75
Kelly $5
Rd 19
Dixon $1.57
Rd 20
Zorko $2.75
Rd 21
Danger $1.80
Rd 22
Parker $3.50
Rd 23
Macrae $2
Lloyd $4.25
Cripps (WC) $4
Brayshaw $4.50
Quote from: dmac07 on September 24, 2018, 10:29:18 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 23, 2018, 07:12:41 PM
Quote from: Big Mac on September 23, 2018, 05:12:44 PM
Is that Cripps one excluding ineligible?
I'd like to know too, because that's a juicy one.
I wrote it including ineligible but they didnt specify in the market. Gaff should finish ahead of him and maybe Fyfe so it makes a difference.
Yeah I feel like it might not be because they have a separate market for BYOB including ineligible players
Ladbrokes $2 Titch special max $20 ran out in 6 minutes. Why aren’t all the bookies doing it this year?
Placing my bets now. For me its looking like...
Team Multi
Zorko w/o Beams, Fyfe, Danger, Coniglio, Macrae @ $4.81 then probably the same but I'll add in JPK top Swans to take it over $10.
Various Punts
Gaff + Yeo 20+ @ $5
Crouch top ADE @ $5
Hoff top Pear @ $21
JPK top Sydney @ $2.80
Heeney to outpoll Bont @ 2.55
Kelly to outpoll DeGoey @ 2.57
Zorko best Capt Group B @ 2.00 (ubet)
Gaff best mid Group C @ 2.50 (ubet)
Safer Singles
Yeo top 10 @ 1.80
Gaff > Fyfe @ 1.90
Arb Opportunity?
Tom Mitchell is $3 to win by 4 or more votes while Dusty is $2.80 with the 5 vote handicap.
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 24, 2018, 12:24:46 PM
If anyones interested on some round betting, these are the ones I'm fairly confident on, if anyone wants to correlate it would be good to see if we match.
Confident
Rd 1
Dusty $2.25
Coniglio $3 Done
Rd 4
O'Meara $3.50
Rd 6
Ebert $10 Done
Rd 12
De Goey $1.85
Rd 13
Wines $2
Yeo $1.60
Rd 15
Simpson $1.60
Beams $1.55
Rd 16
Wingard $1.60
Rd 18
Crouch $1.75
Kelly $5
Rd 19
Dixon $1.57
Rd 20
Zorko $2.75
Rd 21
Danger $1.80
Rd 22
Parker $3.50
Rd 23
Macrae $2
Lloyd $4.25 Done
Cripps (WC) $4
Brayshaw $4.50 Done
What does "Done" mean? Are these the ones that you have placed a bet on?
just joking of course I didn't predict that
Quote from: Rusty00 on September 24, 2018, 01:47:12 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 24, 2018, 12:24:46 PM
If anyones interested on some round betting, these are the ones I'm fairly confident on, if anyone wants to correlate it would be good to see if we match.
Confident
Rd 1
Dusty $2.25
Coniglio $3 Done
Rd 4
O'Meara $3.50
Rd 6
Ebert $10 Done
Rd 12
De Goey $1.85
Rd 13
Wines $2
Yeo $1.60
Rd 15
Simpson $1.60
Beams $1.55
Rd 16
Wingard $1.60
Rd 18
Crouch $1.75
Kelly $5
Rd 19
Dixon $1.57
Rd 20
Zorko $2.75
Rd 21
Danger $1.80
Rd 22
Parker $3.50
Rd 23
Macrae $2
Lloyd $4.25 Done
Cripps (WC) $4
Brayshaw $4.50 Done
What does "Done" mean? Are these the ones that you have placed a bet on?
Haha, yeah they were the ones I'd already placed bets on for my record.
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 24, 2018, 12:24:46 PM
If anyones interested on some round betting, these are the ones I'm fairly confident on, if anyone wants to correlate it would be good to see if we match.
Confident
Rd 1
Dusty $2.25 - 3. Cripps 2.Dusty
Coniglio $3 - Greene 2. Coniglio
Rd 4
O'Meara $3.50 - 3. Omeara 2. Bruest
Rd 6
Ebert $10 - 3. Polec 2. S.Gray 1. J.Westhoff
Rd 12
De Goey $1.85 3. Degoey 2. Sidebottom
Rd 13
Wines $2 3. Wines 2 Gray
Yeo $1.60 3. Yeo 2. Jpk
Rd 15
Simpson $1.60 3. Westhoff, 2.Simpson
Beams $1.55 3. Beams 2. Berry
Rd 16
Wingard $1.60 3.Motlop 2. Wingard
Rd 18
Crouch $1.75 3.Crouch 2. Greenwood
Kelly $5 3- 3.kelly 2. Coniglio
Rd 19
Dixon $1.57 3.Dixon 2. Polec
Rd 20
Zorko $2.75 3. Ziebell 2. Zorko
Rd 21
Danger $1.80 3. Danger 2. Burgoyne
Rd 22
Parker $3.50 3. Parker 2. Franklin
Rd 23
Macrae $2 3. Macrae 2. Martin
Lloyd $4.25 3.mcevoy 2. Lloyd
Cripps (WC) $4 3. Shuey 2. Beams 1. Cripps
Brayshaw $4.50 3 gawn 2. Brayshaw
Added mine in there, all bar one or two i have getting the two or three
Oliver and Yeo combined to poll more votes then Carlton $3. Sportsbet BYO if anyone wants it
Quote from: Bill Manspeaker on September 24, 2018, 02:36:34 PM
I didn't think Dusty had that good a year. I was surprised when I heard he was second favourite
Yeah by his standards it was avg but Richmond won 18/22 games and hes always in their top few as they dont really have major standouts
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 24, 2018, 03:58:05 PM
Oliver and Yeo combined to poll more votes then Carlton $3. Sportsbet BYO if anyone wants it
Nice!
Quote from: elephants on September 24, 2018, 04:13:52 PM
Quote from: Bill Manspeaker on September 24, 2018, 02:36:34 PM
I didn't think Dusty had that good a year. I was surprised when I heard he was second favourite
Yeah by his standards it was avg but Richmond won 18/22 games and hes always in their top few as they dont really have major standouts
yeah fair point, he's probably someone that sort of just attracts votes as well just by his name
My 3 vote games - they have put up every game for the year on Sportsbet now. The ones marked ** are the ones I'll back, smaller amounts on the ones in the $10-$30 range.
ROUND 1
Zaharakis @ 9.00
Bonner @ 6.50
ROUND 2
Gaff @ 11 **
ROUND 3
JP Kennedy @ 21 **
Seedsman @ 15
Shuey @ 7.00**
ROUND 4
Grundy @ 2.00**
ROUND 5
Dangerfield @ 3.50**
ROUND 6
Cripps @ 3.25
Salem @ 21
Caddy @ 9.00
ROUND 7
Gaff @ 4.00**
ROUND 8
Yeo @ 11
ROUND 9
Howe @ 34
ROUND 10
JP Kennedy @ 3.25**
Dangerfield @ 3.00
Turner @ 34 **
ROUND 11
Gunston @ 21**
Beams @ 3.00**
Coniglio @ 7.00**
ROUND 12
Franklin @ 6.00
ROUND 13
ROUND 14
ROUND 15
Westhoff @ 7.00**
Beams @ 1.65**
ROUND 16
Goldstein @ 26**
ROUND 17
Sloane @ 5.50 **
ROUND 18
ROUND 19
J.Kelly @ 3.50**
ROUND 20
ROUND 21
ROUND 22
Parker @ 3.50**
ROUND 23
Westhoff @ 7.00
Grundy @ 2.00**
on sb you can request odds for any bet you want
anyone got any ideas?
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 24, 2018, 04:58:25 PM
on sb you can request odds for any bet you want
anyone got any ideas?
I requested about 14, the ones they accepted are below.
I've also got a few of my bets onto Sportsbet under the BYO brownlow.
Mitchell, Grundy, Gawn, Yeo - Top 4 Any Order (Exc Ineligible) $34
Mitchell, Grundy, Gawn, Yeo, Gaff - Top 5 any order $151
Gawn/Oliver to combine for 40 or more votes $1.85
Gaff and Yeo both 20 or more. $5
Cripps not to make top 10 - $8 (my favorite)
its sucks you cant multi the byo ones
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 24, 2018, 05:20:08 PM
its sucks you cant multi the byo ones
You can create it to be a multi though. Some of the byo’s have like 6 different legs
So I spent 2-3 hours looking over all of the markets TAB are offering, and then I put together a few multi's which looked good
I head down to the local TAB and get told I can't do a single one of them because they are in different groups or some shower?
TAB can eat a bag of dicks
I've put a few bets on, but nothing exciting now as I couldn't do a single mutli I wanted FFS
They were only 3 leg multi's too
Quinella - Poll A Single Vote - 4 GWS players score 10+ votes
I had 6 bets lined up with different variations of the same 3 bets to hedge and cover all bases, but now I've just ended up doing single bets with boring returns
These 3 leg multi's were paying over 50-1, and I was wanting to try and scoop a massive score. Why does their site allow me to enter them into the slip, but then not actually do them?
To reiterate, TAB can eat a bag of dicks
Fairly unanimous that Fyfe leads at Round 10? Paying $1.60, think I might load up.
Quote from: _wato on September 24, 2018, 06:31:29 PM
Fairly unanimous that Fyfe leads at Round 10? Paying $1.60, think I might load up.
Think so. My count.
17 - Fyfe
14 - Mitchell
13 - Kennedy, Macrae, Gaff.
All others 10 or less
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on September 24, 2018, 05:50:18 PM
So I spent 2-3 hours looking over all of the markets TAB are offering, and then I put together a few multi's which looked good
I head down to the local TAB and get told I can't do a single one of them because they are in different groups or some shower?
TAB can eat a bag of dicks
I've put a few bets on, but nothing exciting now as I couldn't do a single mutli I wanted FFS
They were only 3 leg multi's too
Quinella - Poll A Single Vote - 4 GWS players score 10+ votes
I had 6 bets lined up with different variations of the same 3 bets to hedge and cover all bases, but now I've just ended up doing single bets with boring returns
These 3 leg multi's were paying over 50-1, and I was wanting to try and scoop a massive score. Why does their site allow me to enter them into the slip, but then not actually do them?
To reiterate, TAB can eat a bag of dicks
As a current TAB employee i’d just like to say that I will not be eating your dicks today sir.
Who is the most likely to get most votes w/o Titch?
I've had a good crack at Max Gawn
Quote from: Big Mac on September 24, 2018, 06:41:50 PM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on September 24, 2018, 05:50:18 PM
So I spent 2-3 hours looking over all of the markets TAB are offering, and then I put together a few multi's which looked good
I head down to the local TAB and get told I can't do a single one of them because they are in different groups or some shower?
TAB can eat a bag of dicks
I've put a few bets on, but nothing exciting now as I couldn't do a single mutli I wanted FFS
They were only 3 leg multi's too
Quinella - Poll A Single Vote - 4 GWS players score 10+ votes
I had 6 bets lined up with different variations of the same 3 bets to hedge and cover all bases, but now I've just ended up doing single bets with boring returns
These 3 leg multi's were paying over 50-1, and I was wanting to try and scoop a massive score. Why does their site allow me to enter them into the slip, but then not actually do them?
To reiterate, TAB can eat a bag of dicks
As a current TAB employee i’d just like to say that I will not be eating your dicks today sir.
Hahahaha
Quote from: AaronKirk on September 24, 2018, 06:55:55 PM
Who is the most likely to get most votes w/o Titch?
I've had a good crack at Max Gawn
I really like Gunston as a roughy at $9. I have him second though probably underestimating Omeara.
Quote from: AaronKirk on September 24, 2018, 06:55:55 PM
Who is the most likely to get most votes w/o Titch?
I've had a good crack at Max Gawn
At Hawthorn? O'Meara.
Overall? Don't mind Danger as a smokey. Always polls well.
T.Mitchell to receive 3 votes in Rounds, 1,2,6,11,13,15,18,19,20 @50.00
on sb in byo
Hoff to win Port my favourite one for tonight. But I love the Hoff so maybe I'm just super biased in that regard :P $26 is probably overs for him even though he has no polling history.
Edit: I see he's now at $26 not $21 to top Ports vote count
Quote from: dmac07 on September 24, 2018, 06:40:27 PM
Quote from: _wato on September 24, 2018, 06:31:29 PM
Fairly unanimous that Fyfe leads at Round 10? Paying $1.60, think I might load up.
Think so. My count.
17 - Fyfe
14 - Mitchell
13 - Kennedy, Macrae, Gaff.
All others 10 or less
I've got Fyfe equal with Mitchell on 17, ties are what could ruin us today folks!
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 24, 2018, 07:19:09 PM
T.Mitchell to receive 3 votes in Rounds, 1,2,6,11,13,15,18,19,20 @50.00
on sb in byo
On for a $5, nice find, tough to do, but I do have him polling 3 in all of those games, fingers crossed.
4 GWS players to score 10+ votes at $3.25 is free money I reckon. Conigs, Kelly, Whitfield and Ward should all go 10+ I think
Unfortunately, due to the previously mentioned problems I faced I didn't end up making that bet, so now I hope it doesn't get up lol
Most of my bets for tonight are pretty standard and nothing special, but the one unique bet I went with was Daniel Rich to poll at least one vote @ $4
Get around him!
Also chucked a little bet on Hoff, just because dmac brought it to my attention (And I love the Hoff)
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on September 24, 2018, 07:49:16 PM
4 GWS players to score 10+ votes at $3.25 is free money I reckon. Conigs, Kelly, Whitfield and Ward should all go 10+ I think
Unfortunately, due to the previously mentioned problems I faced I didn't end up making that bet, so now I hope it doesn't get up lol
Most of my bets for tonight are pretty standard and nothing special, but the one unique bet I went with was Daniel Rich to poll at least one vote @ $4
Get around him!
Also chucked a little bet on Hoff, just because dmac brought it to my attention (And I love the Hoff)
That is some juicy juicy goodness, best I could find was $2.50 though on SB.
$4.50 on Beteasy for Grundy/Gawn/Dusty/Beams to get 4 or more votes in rounds 22 & 23 combined. I need to stop searching...
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 24, 2018, 07:56:11 PM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on September 24, 2018, 07:49:16 PM
4 GWS players to score 10+ votes at $3.25 is free money I reckon. Conigs, Kelly, Whitfield and Ward should all go 10+ I think
Unfortunately, due to the previously mentioned problems I faced I didn't end up making that bet, so now I hope it doesn't get up lol
Most of my bets for tonight are pretty standard and nothing special, but the one unique bet I went with was Daniel Rich to poll at least one vote @ $4
Get around him!
Also chucked a little bet on Hoff, just because dmac brought it to my attention (And I love the Hoff)
That is some juicy juicy goodness, best I could find was $2.50 though on SB.
It was $3.25 with TAB but every time I tried making the bet I was getting an error saying the bet was too much try later - spoke to the person at pub and he couldn't even put it through either
floweren tab
Quote from: SilverLion on September 24, 2018, 07:13:37 PM
Quote from: AaronKirk on September 24, 2018, 06:55:55 PM
Who is the most likely to get most votes w/o Titch?
I've had a good crack at Max Gawn
At Hawthorn? O'Meara.
Overall? Don't mind Danger as a smokey. Always polls well.
In the overall market.
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 24, 2018, 07:56:11 PM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on September 24, 2018, 07:49:16 PM
4 GWS players to score 10+ votes at $3.25 is free money I reckon. Conigs, Kelly, Whitfield and Ward should all go 10+ I think
Unfortunately, due to the previously mentioned problems I faced I didn't end up making that bet, so now I hope it doesn't get up lol
Most of my bets for tonight are pretty standard and nothing special, but the one unique bet I went with was Daniel Rich to poll at least one vote @ $4
Get around him!
Also chucked a little bet on Hoff, just because dmac brought it to my attention (And I love the Hoff)
That is some juicy juicy goodness, best I could find was $2.50 though on SB.
2.75 on UBet. Locking that in, seems too good to pass up
Quote from: AaronKirk on September 24, 2018, 08:13:30 PM
Quote from: SilverLion on September 24, 2018, 07:13:37 PM
Quote from: AaronKirk on September 24, 2018, 06:55:55 PM
Who is the most likely to get most votes w/o Titch?
I've had a good crack at Max Gawn
At Hawthorn? O'Meara.
Overall? Don't mind Danger as a smokey. Always polls well.
In the overall market.
I got Danger blowing everyone else away for Cats
Dusty no votes Round 1?! Wow
May as well stop the count now, it’s done.
Hoff has 5 votes from 2 games and doesn’t put in a stinker all season (unlike Titch :P). Brownlow in the bag.
Sidey!!!!!!!! $$$
Anyone have money on Marley Williams for the 3 votes in Rd.2 ;D
Settle...
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 24, 2018, 04:25:37 PM
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 24, 2018, 03:58:05 PM
Oliver and Yeo combined to poll more votes then Carlton $3. Sportsbet BYO if anyone wants it
Nice!
I'll apologise for this one. Umps forgot who Oliver was
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 24, 2018, 11:18:27 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 24, 2018, 04:25:37 PM
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 24, 2018, 03:58:05 PM
Oliver and Yeo combined to poll more votes then Carlton $3. Sportsbet BYO if anyone wants it
Nice!
I'll apologise for this one. Umps forgot who Oliver was
totally surprised. I backed him to get Melbourne highest.
looks like it might be close between sidebottom and mitchell. hope sidebottom gets up.
You're welcome, for the GWS 4 players 10+ tip ;)
Quote from: crowls on September 24, 2018, 11:25:40 PM
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 24, 2018, 11:18:27 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 24, 2018, 04:25:37 PM
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 24, 2018, 03:58:05 PM
Oliver and Yeo combined to poll more votes then Carlton $3. Sportsbet BYO if anyone wants it
Nice!
I'll apologise for this one. Umps forgot who Oliver was
totally surprised. I backed him to get Melbourne highest.
looks like it might be close between sidebottom and mitchell. hope sidebottom gets up.
Oliver with a helmet smashed the dees votes
Wow, Guessing no one picked that trifecta :o
Quote from: Rusty00 on September 24, 2018, 11:36:18 PM
Wow, Guessing no one picked that trifecta :o
I dunno, this bloke went alright...
Quote from: Bill Manspeaker on September 24, 2018, 02:36:34 PM
1 - Mitchell
2 - Sidebottom
3 - Brayshaw
Man what a strange count, the first half of the count was all over the shop. No votes for Dusty in round 1?!? Once again my round votes saved me, hit some very nice odds, especially towards the end. Sidebum and Brayshaw came out of nowhere, Mitchell not polling in 40+ touch games, and then polling in under 30 touch games. Ruckmen proved they can poll, but are never going to be a match for the mid brigade.
2019 markets opening
Titch/Dusty @5
Fyfe @8
Danger @13
Fyfe / Danger I really like here
Quote from: _wato on September 25, 2018, 01:14:55 AM
2019 markets opening
Titch/Dusty @5
Fyfe @8
Danger @13
Fyfe / Danger I really like here
Go Brayshaw he missed the first month and come third ;)
Quote from: LaHug on September 24, 2018, 09:11:24 PM
Dusty no votes Round 1?! Wow
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 25, 2018, 12:51:30 AM
No votes for Dusty in round 1?!?
Usually you need to be in the top 5 or so for a game at least to get votes, probably what hurt Dusty there
Quote from: GoLions on September 25, 2018, 08:34:31 AM
Usually you need to be in the top 5 or so for a game at least to get votes, probably what hurt Dusty there
Well he did have 32 and kick a goal. The general consensus was that Dusty and Cripps were easily the best 2 on ground
Dayne Beams having 32 and kicking 5 goals for no vote would be my howler for the night though
Considering how odd the vote was, I'm surprised I only ended up $14 down...
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on September 25, 2018, 09:25:48 AM
Quote from: GoLions on September 25, 2018, 08:34:31 AM
Usually you need to be in the top 5 or so for a game at least to get votes, probably what hurt Dusty there
Well he did have 32 and kick a goal. The general consensus was that Dusty and Cripps were easily the best 2 on ground
Dayne Beams having 32 and kicking 5 goals for no vote would be my howler for the night though
I had Crippa, Cornrow, and Simmo as my top 3 for that game comfortably
And yeah Beama robbed for sure
Marley Williams 3 votes round 2 - 14P 3M 0T 66 SC points any valid reason why he should have got even 1 vote ? looked at the game stats and there seems to be many many players who played better than him , there must be something that does not show up in the stats or maybe mistaken identity by the umps ;D
Quote from: R.Griffen on September 25, 2018, 03:15:48 AM
Quote from: _wato on September 25, 2018, 01:14:55 AM
2019 markets opening
Titch/Dusty @5
Fyfe @8
Danger @13
Fyfe / Danger I really like here
Go Brayshaw he missed the first month and come third ;)
This is what I'm doing! Cripps on a good team could easily win a Brownlow...pity he's not on a good team.
Quote
Rd 1
Coniglio $3 - Loss
Rd 4
O'Meara $3.50 - Loss
Rd 6
Ebert $10 - Loss
Rd 12
De Goey $1.85 - Loss
Rd 13
Wines $2.30 - Win
Yeo $1.60 - Loss
Rd 15
Simpson $1.70 - Win
Beams $1.55 - win
Rd 16
Wingard $1.60 - win
Rd 18
Crouch $1.75 - Win
Kelly $5 - Loss
Rd 19
Dixon $1.57 - Win
Rd 20
Zorko $2.75 - Win
Rd 21
Danger $1.80 - Win
Rd 22
Parker $3.50 - Loss
Rd 23
Macrae $2 - Win
Lloyd $4.25 - loss
Cripps (WC) $4 - Win
Brayshaw $5 - Win
Those were my results that I posted. Looked like a horrendous night at the start! :o
Also hit a few of my rougher bets, but only for small outlays. Brayshaw R22 @ $7, Gibbs @ $13 (not sure what round), and a couple of $3 and $5. Another year and basically break even again. Going to have to tweak my system more...
Quote from: LaHug on September 25, 2018, 09:31:50 AM
Considering how odd the vote was, I'm surprised I only ended up $14 down...
Yeah I finished around break even or a slight loss which I was happy with considering the craziness of the vote. Nailing Goldy @ $5 on the North Melbourne team votes handicap helped to save me.
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on September 25, 2018, 09:25:48 AM
Dayne Beams having 32 and kicking 5 goals for no vote would be my howler for the night though
Had him for a Top 5 finish >:(