(https://i.imgur.com/Mt7rP3D.png)
First draft, unusual starting structure but method behind the madness given we've got so many overpriced rookies and little else. Whitfield won't appear in too many midfields but he's capable of similar output, provided he goes bang early it could buy some time while one of Steele or Oliver drop in price. Treloar another nice POD, I think he's top 6 and comes in at a big discount.
Quote from: Bully on March 12, 2022, 01:49:11 AM
(https://i.imgur.com/Mt7rP3D.png)
First draft, unusual starting structure but method behind the madness given we've got so many overpriced rookies and little else. Whitfield won't appear in too many midfields but he's capable of similar output, provided he goes bang early it could buy some time while one of Steele or Oliver drop in price. Treloar another nice POD, I think he's top 6 and comes in at a big discount.
Great first team Bully. Great structure and can not fault. Only issue is if you have enough change left to adjust rookies.
If I need a higher priced rookie, say Hollands up to Durdin or Martin up to Naish then I may entertain downgrading Dusty to Heeney, that seems the logical move without butchering my structure too much.
A few alterations, most notably overlooking JHF, don't think it will be a huge loss given JHF can only be picked as a mid.
(https://i.imgur.com/s80cZd8.png)
My backline structure is pretty similar. As long as those 4 rookies are named I think most will start them.
Midfield I am not sure about the Merrett pick. I feel Parish is a better option after looking at the numbers one he became a FT mid. I haven't seen Bont in a lot of sides but his ceiling is fantastic so I can't fault it. I have gone with D Stephens/Ward on the bench as I am unsure about the other mid rookies all getting a game. Also think Horne-Francis is worth starting so I'd maybe make the adjustment to get him in and move one of Ward/Stephens to the bench.
Treloar has the ability to be top 6, unfortunately his body hasn't held up in a long time. He could very well do his hamstring by HT in round 1 and then you're already burning a trade. Curnow I have moved out of my side after the knee knock against the Saints. He was apparently well beaten by Battle and then injured himself. He is supremely talented, but I feel he is still in cotton wool and being a key forward he may put up a clunker every 3 weeks to stunt his cash growth. The forward line has a number of those mid 200k players plus it looks like Baldwin might play with the Jones injury so I'd maybe lean towards that route.
Heya Bully
I'm not convinced at all that we can rely on 4 def rookies
Hinge's JS is very questionable and SDK could be booted as soon as Henry returns (Stewart also didn't play last week)
Gibcus and McCartin seem the only two safe options in terms of JS, and I'm not thrilled about paying 171k for Gibcus who will likely score poorly, but might be forced to pick him
Mid bench has been doing my head in - I like the idea of fielding Stephens at M8, but wondering if he might be best served at M9 so that he's solid cover, because I think all of the 117-123k mid rookies will have major JS issues, and possibly scoring issues too
Can't see Curnow being a must start either - I reckon 1 of Hayes/Dons rookie etc might be fine for F6 - so I'd dump Curnow and bring in Berry in the mids
(https://i.imgur.com/0aqZfHq.png)
Thanks for the feedback guys, have taken all onboard and come up with this, Parker can be a floater for now as I expect games at some stage.
That's a really nice looking team. How much cash left in the bank?
Quote from: Mat0369 on March 14, 2022, 02:40:51 PM
That's a really nice looking team. How much cash left in the bank?
Only 5k but if all rookies get picked I'm happy having Parker/Ned Long as a floating donut (similar to A.Fyfe from last year). Having the ability to loop is worth the lost revenue.
Hayes could be dropped as soon as Ryder is back and Dixon is probably battling for a spot with Bailey Williams. They're both likely to become floating donuts at some point through the R3 slot.
Quote from: Mat0369 on March 14, 2022, 06:45:49 PM
Hayes could be dropped as soon as Ryder is back and Dixon is probably battling for a spot with Bailey Williams. They're both likely to become floating donuts at some point through the R3 slot.
Dusty to Heeney frees up money for Sinn/Mcguiness but I'm not sure it's worth it as neither of those two have ironclad JS.
Brady Hough looks like getting a call-up, is it worth going Dusty to Treloar/Heeney and M11 grabbing Hough. Nic Nat also unsighted so lock in Dixon I reckon.
(https://i.imgur.com/nGkaBdv.png)
A bit of tweaking and I can get Hough into M11, don't think I've compromised the team too much.
(https://i.imgur.com/e6sXEHs.png)
Very strong rumours that Western Bulldogs will debut a player and the money is on Arthur Jones, another F/D to add to the ranks.
This I believe will be my final cut, I'm confident I'll get 30 starters & I've offset the Doggies risk by replacing Bont with Clarry.
Treloar worries me a lot but Dusty has also had an interrupted preseason, I don't feel he is a 22 game player anymore.
More pain likely in the forward line this year, Butters maybe but another without the runs on the board.
Contingency in the event Treloar's hammy goes twang? English the most likely correctional trade, his Gawn game will be out of the way.
Quote from: Bully on March 14, 2022, 07:10:09 PM
Brady Hough looks like getting a call-up, is it worth going Dusty to Treloar/Heeney and M11 grabbing Hough. Nic Nat also unsighted so lock in Dixon I reckon.
I will probably look at Hough. He is expected to play out of the back half. No Tom Cole long term and Shepp retired could see him own the spot.
Dusty to Treloar is worth the risk with the extra trades. Personally I'm leaning towards Butters at F2
Also have no idea about Jones. I've heard nothing about him and where will he play? Could be a decent loop with his swing but risky
Oh! Nic Nat might be a close contact of Kelly which is why he apparently hasn't been on the track. Might still be okay for round 1 though
Quote from: Mat0369 on March 15, 2022, 01:23:16 PM
Quote from: Bully on March 14, 2022, 07:10:09 PM
Brady Hough looks like getting a call-up, is it worth going Dusty to Treloar/Heeney and M11 grabbing Hough. Nic Nat also unsighted so lock in Dixon I reckon.
I will probably look at Hough. He is expected to play out of the back half. No Tom Cole long term and Shepp retired could see him own the spot.
Dusty to Treloar is worth the risk with the extra trades. Personally I'm leaning towards Butters at F2
Butters was my second preference although I like the idea of taking a punt on English, Stef only played 7 games last year so I reckon he'll be getting plenty of mid time.
Quote from: Mat0369 on March 15, 2022, 01:25:00 PM
Also have no idea about Jones. I've heard nothing about him and where will he play? Could be a decent loop with his swing but risky
Jones is a quick Bobby Hill type player, typically boom/bust selection but has good athleticism. Doggies played McNeil for a decent stretch so I'm not overly concerned.
(https://i.imgur.com/0MRFId5.png)
Cripps inclusion makes the bench look really strong, was burnt by him last year although I sold him just in time (for Ridley).
Forwards look weak on paper but I'm really scratching my head over the best bet, I think Cripps makes 80-100k at worst, he's not a huge risk.
Things I dont like:
Extremley cookie cutter
Only 1 premium fwd
Overpriced players-
Hinge
Ridley
Cripps
Berry
Brodie
Things I like:
Nothing.
Quote from: cuz_crew on March 15, 2022, 05:43:08 PM
Things I dont like:
Extremley cookie cutter
Only 1 premium fwd
Overpriced players-
Hinge
Ridley
Cripps
Berry
Brodie
Things I like:
Nothing.
Sure mate, show me the cheap defensive rookies, think you will find the cupboard bare.
As for Berry, Cripps, Ridley & Brodie being overpriced, think you need to back that up with evidence because these are the guys who could make your SC season.
QuoteThings I like:
Nothing.
What? No mark out of 10?
(https://i.imgur.com/1Te0dcj.png)
Decent enough starting squad, will keep one eye on Cripps and ascertain whether a correction trade is needed, Rowell & Berry to Cripps and rookie under consideration.
Lloyd isn't playing this week so unless happy to take bench score and not waste a trade later may need to send him out
I have temporarily made the Lloyd to Rich move down back.
Considering you have 5 premium defenders you need to make the call on who you see as a keeper since Lloyd will likely fill that last defensive spot down the track.
Crisp will do for now, has DPP.
I just realised you didn't have Crisp. He has been in my side all pre-season. I feel he can be this years version of Laird.
(https://i.imgur.com/uTZauQN.png)
Crisp destroying an otherwise good week, think I'll be bringing Lloyd straight back in, tagging assignments not my thing.
Lloyd at 15% ownership, very close to POD, missing round 1 could be a blessing if you get him straight back in.
Crisp a worry but I am waiting to see next week what transpires with him. Was lowest score since Rd 12 2020 and as you say seemed to have a tagging role on Steele initially.
He will also become Lloyd Rd 3 if tagging roles continue although hard to see a tag required against Crows.
Quote from: Ringo on March 19, 2022, 12:09:23 PM
Crisp a worry but I am waiting to see next week what transpires with him. Was lowest score since Rd 12 2020 and as you say seemed to have a tagging role on Steele initially.
He will also become Lloyd Rd 3 if tagging roles continue although hard to see a tag required against Crows.
Will monitor the squad over the next few matches but I'm inclined to strike early with Lloyd and free up some trades round 3, Cripps/Hewett look like good targets for a correction trade.
(https://i.imgur.com/HxoYrjL.png)
Good first round, 2302, rank is lower than expected but any score over 2300 is to be celebrated.
With the extra trades I'm going early with structural reform, I think M5 is vulnerable so rejigging the squad worth it.
Crisp is the equal of Hewitt in my opinion, similar roles, the only difference being 170k, Berry to Cripps looks like a no brainer with that extra cash.
Next week both Ward & Baldwin will be monitored, another Ridley misfire & I'll look at downgrading Ward and grabbing Lloyd who is at 14% ownership.
No other glaring holes but I'd even consider Ward to Xerri via Rachele. Goldy spending a fair bit of time on the pine.
Ward injured his ankle late. I'd probably look at moving him this week if he is out with some DPP magic. I'd hold on Crisp this week and maybe look at turning him into Lloyd.
Quote from: Mat0369 on March 21, 2022, 01:54:22 AM
Ward injured his ankle late. I'd probably look at moving him this week if he is out with some DPP magic. I'd hold on Crisp this week and maybe look at turning him into Lloyd.
I don't mind holding fire on Ward, he could go a number of ways, Xerri interests me greatly but requires 2 trades. Mead another downgrade option and then potentially upgrade Ridley to Lloyd.
Cripps is a must in my opinion, looks like a 115 season from where I'm standing, Berry looking more slow burn. At worst Hewitt makes 100k and fills M9, DPP hugely important with Whitfield & Sicily bound to miss matches.
Berry was on track for a monster score at HT. The second half I have no idea what happened. I'd hold him this week as well.
I'd also take Houston over Hewett. Houston started last year on fire before the AC joint derailed his season. The role is extremely SC friendly. Howe is the other 400k defender I'd look at. He was on around 70 and BOG at HT before he had an extremely quiet second half. Plus we still have Walsh to come back into the side. I also think we come back down to earth vs the Dogs
Quote from: Mat0369 on March 21, 2022, 03:22:31 AM
Berry was on track for a monster score at HT. The second half I have no idea what happened. I'd hold him this week as well.
I'd also take Houston over Hewett. Houston started last year on fire before the AC joint derailed his season. The role is extremely SC friendly. Howe is the other 400k defender I'd look at. He was on around 70 and BOG at HT before he had an extremely quiet second half. Plus we still have Walsh to come back into the side. I also think we come back down to earth vs the Dogs
Hewett's scores since the bye last year -
102
97
55
134
86
56
75
102
106
106 (elim)
131 (r1)
Avg = 95
I think this will be his average come the end of the year, not quite premo territory but perfect for M9.
Given his high standard deviation he's a prime loophole candidate.
Hewett/Cripps is potentially 95 + 115
Crisp/Berry 100 + 85
Worth a trade and I won't be looking at Houston with his injury history, Howe the same. The other trade I would consider is simply trading Crisp to Lloyd but I'm more inclined to trade Ridley at this stage.
(https://i.imgur.com/T5p7Cnc.png)
Decent week, 2382 which was slightly above par, quite a few holes which need to be fixed & Gawn is gone.
Gawn to Butters, seems a smart play as I think they will have parity in a few weeks.
This allows me get the deadwood off the ground & brings in Xerri who looks borderline keeperish.
With the remaining cash I've gone with an upgrade of Whitfield to Hall who I think is a quality POD.
The last defensive position probably Lloyd who looked horrible but still managed to ton up.
Thought about Heeney but don't have a spot really, Xerri is the better long term proposition & Heeney will throw in the odd mare.
Will get Gawn back in all likelihood but with a BE of 200 odd I'm happy to sit this one out. Won't be difficult to get him back as I will swing English back to the forwards.
I don't mind dropping Gawn for the cash grab as long as you have another option that makes sense (which you do in English). I can see a lot of teams moving Hayes to R2 and it's going to destroy them.
I have both Butters and Xerri in my side so I like both. Something to keep in mind is the competition Xerri faced, but the role is there and he could be a keeper as R3/F7.
I also like the Hall pick and I was 50/50 between him and Rich when Lloyd was out. I expect Whitfield to bounce back, but I can also see the merit in trading him.
That team does look really really good and should keep trending upwards.
Quote from: Mat0369 on March 28, 2022, 07:29:05 PM
I don't mind dropping Gawn for the cash grab as long as you have another option that makes sense (which you do in English). I can see a lot of teams moving Hayes to R2 and it's going to destroy them.
I have both Butters and Xerri in my side so I like both. Something to keep in mind is the competition Xerri faced, but the role is there and he could be a keeper as R3/F7.
I also like the Hall pick and I was 50/50 between him and Rich when Lloyd was out. I expect Whitfield to bounce back, but I can also see the merit in trading him.
That team does look really really good and should keep trending upwards.
The problem with Whitfield is he's not taking enough kick outs, Cumming seems to be the go to guy.
There's already a 50 point difference between him & Hall, I reckon for 72k it's a nice safe haven.
Whitfield surely improves but I don't think he's top 6 at this stage.
Interesting stat with Hall, since coming back from injury last year he's scored 17/18 tons at an average of 116. That's super premo territory and is the reason I'm keen to get him in.
Agreed on Hall. It's why I had him at D2 until his hamstring injury during the preseason. His average last year minus the sub/injury score is elite. The reward outweighs the risk with him.
(https://i.imgur.com/e7DSlM1.png)
Not as good a week as expected, 2235 with both Hall & Butters making my trades look foolish, nevermind, everyone has a bad week.
Rank is ok, around the 6k mark, no need to panic but it's now time to be bold and prepare to make a big play for Steele/Miller in the coming weeks.
Out is Rachele, Stephens & Ward, in comes Preuss, Bowey & O'Driscoll.
The plan from here will be to ride my luck with Bowey & then grab Miller/Steele next week. Burning trades like mad but in a new world of boost
and roost one has to be daring. Maybe Bowey becomes keeperish much like Jiath, don't know but he can be sold at 400k in any worst case scenario.
Both Steele & Miller are looming as big time buys, poor Touk had to contend with some heavy tagging but that won't happen every week.
Steele starting slowly like last year but he's a pretty safe investment.
Rookies on the horizon? Sonsie tore up the VFL so he likely comes in for Gibcus & I'll look at some other possibilities including a floating donut.
The race to fill up the midfield will define who does well this season, that's why it's all guns blazing from this corner. Still averaging over 2300 so maintenance of this number becomes paramount.
Just reading the AFL ins and outs, looks like O'Driscoll might miss out. If so, I'll probably just settle on Preuss for Stephens and give Rachele & Ward another week.
I'd say Stephens is a high chance of getting dropped this week. Solid trade bringing in Preuss. Personally I'm going to wait until he is on the bubble because he is an injury risk and I don't trust the Giants at all. I think the Bowey ship has sailed. Skinner has been dropped so he isn't worth grabbing as a downgrade option either. Once the teams come out we will get a better idea of where everyone is at.
Quote from: Mat0369 on April 07, 2022, 12:46:10 AM
I'd say Stephens is a high chance of getting dropped this week. Solid trade bringing in Preuss. Personally I'm going to wait until he is on the bubble because he is an injury risk and I don't trust the Giants at all. I think the Bowey ship has sailed. Skinner has been dropped so he isn't worth grabbing as a downgrade option either. Once the teams come out we will get a better idea of where everyone is at.
Preuss can be pushed to the bench so he's a low risk bet, if he's dropped I'll make Gawn the priority next week, he will be coming with a big discount.
Still trying to push whatever buttons necessary to get a big fish next week & lock in some price drops, that would effectively cancel out the Bowey opportunity cost.
(https://i.imgur.com/VMHc29t.png)
Not too bad this week, par score despite Hall's hammie.
Bringing in Titch this week to stiffen up the midfield, next week Cripps (BE 147) or Lloyd (BE 135) will come in, followed by another premo mid, Steele my preference.
Team looks ok on paper, can see multiple avenues for a full upgrade so everything progressing ok. Rank around 6k and only 300 points off the top 100. Not a bad start all things considered.
The one thing that worries me with Mitchell is his SC to DT ratio. I'm thinking he may be a few more weeks away. I think it is a good plan to wait on Steele, especially if Ash goes to him this week.
Quote from: Mat0369 on April 21, 2022, 08:39:17 PM
The one thing that worries me with Mitchell is his SC to DT ratio. I'm thinking he may be a few more weeks away. I think it is a good plan to wait on Steele, especially if Ash goes to him this week.
He has shown he can drop lower but he's bankable at that price, not sure bottom fishing is the way to go as you could potentially miss out altogether.
I'm also of the opinion he will step up as the season progresses, even the occasional 80 won't bother me, his propensity to hit 115 by season's end usually predictable.
English out for 2 to 3 weeks change your plans?
Quote from: Mat0369 on April 22, 2022, 04:05:14 PM
English out for 2 to 3 weeks change your plans?
Too late, trades locked, would have kept Rowell but dems the breaks. Might hold a week and use him to grab Cripps on the cheap.
(https://i.imgur.com/i4VLtQV.png)
Bad week, bad luck with Hayes on field & English a late withdrawl but dems da breaks.
Rank is taking a battering but I'm holding English, I think I can cover him for another couple. Cash gen now at 12.4 million (leader has 11.7) gives me comfort.
The rookie situation is lean so I'm popping some extra $$ into Callaghan who is vastly superior to Hobbs who didn't impress me one iota.
The plan next week is Bont or Doch with Lloyd still under scrutiny, not sure what's happened to the seagull but he looks very average this year.
Still missing Steele and I don't know how to get him so I'll leave him for last I think.
As you can see I rejigged the rucks to accommodate Hayes who is worth it for the extra dollars. Haven't discounted getting Grundy back but Preuss is averaging more.
I'm actually pleased with the composition of the side, haven't had much luck with rookie fieldings and that has proven to be the difference.
Rookies on the horizon?
Clark & Sonsie, might go early on these 2 in order to get my Bont/Doch trade over the line. Erasmus another to consider if he gets recalled.
Erasmus had a head knock in the WAFL which could see his potential return pushed a couple of weeks. Ward to someone like McComb may not be a bad move. Ward isn't scoring and best case McComb keeps getting games and is a slow burn, worst case he provides a loop option. D6 and F6 look fantastic. English out another 3 to 4 might mean a trade is in order. Possibly worth turning him into Steele using MacDonald and pushing Callaghan to M9. You can always turn Preuss back into English down the track and you don't know how he recovers from a hamstring injury.
Rosas looks to be a good chance, that would be my preference.
I think I will cop the points loss with English out, Rosas can cover this week.
My reasoning is I would prefer to keep the cash rolling in & English is the number 1 ruck & the number 1 forward, don't want the headache of trying to get him back.
Next week Noddy to Doch/Bont depending on the best BE, Ward down to Clark/Sonsie.
I'm not confident this week but cash is king, the rewards will be delivered down the track, fully expecting a rank loss this week looking at some of the midfields out there.
The English move would be one more for next week. I think getting Steele on field could be a huge advantage and he is the easiest way to get there
Quote from: Mat0369 on April 27, 2022, 01:18:07 PM
The English move would be one more for next week. I think getting Steele on field could be a huge advantage and he is the easiest way to get there
Will assess next week, the only issue I see is the fact Steele is fully priced and English undervalued, I could see their prices being reversed at some stage.
I reckon English will be back in a fortnight, 3 weeks seems to be the norm with these injuries.
Xerri out throws a spanner in the works, tempted to grab Mills instead of Cripps, just perused Cripps stats against the Kangas
75, 75, 123, 92, 97
All these numbers are below his BE of 125, that suggests I can wait a week, might cop a small points loss but will surely make that up.
Now for the master plan, Mills is due to hit 700k with a couple of tons, worst case scenario is he makes 50k.
With the rookie situation on the light side, could easily go Mills to Bont/Petracca/Miller in a fortnight which could potentially put 200k in the coffers.
*small correction with cash gen, leader has 12.8 million (update came after initial opening)
I just saw the Xerri news. That changes things.
Apparently Hewett is in doubt as well
Quote from: Mat0369 on April 28, 2022, 06:16:51 PM
I just saw the Xerri news. That changes things.
Apparently Hewett is in doubt as well
And Rosas on the extended bench, in a massive bind because we won't find out if he's made the cut until after Clark plays, I need bums on seats so might have to go early on Clark for absolute certainty.
(https://i.imgur.com/k2rtqdQ.png)
This is how I hope things go, Rosas worries me but the cash is there for the taking and a -76 BE is extremely tempting, I hope he makes the cut.
I think he makes the cut. I think he is named on the extended bench due to a fitness test tomorrow. I'd assume Parish is in the same boat for the Dons and will be an out around 5pm tomorrow like Danger last week if he can't get up
(https://i.imgur.com/JDYM11r.png)
Solid week scoring 2467, couldn't ask for more considering English was marooned on the bench, will punt him this week however, Touk Miller on the rise I think.
All lines look solid, Noddy the weakest link at this stage. Might still take a punt on Lloyd, or perhaps wait a week for Docherty.
Bully what are going to do with Mitchell I brought him in two weeks ago be underwhelming thinking going him to Miller still ranked 260 overall what do you think
Quote from: whynot102 on May 03, 2022, 09:51:03 PM
Bully what are going to do with Mitchell I brought him in two weeks ago be underwhelming thinking going him to Miller still ranked 260 overall what do you think
He's cash stable at that price & rarely misses games so he's a hold unless there's a compelling case, a Parker or English might be justifiable just for the flexibility. Assess this week I think.
Clark out due to H&S protocols, might go McComb instead for this round.
Doc is a winner down back although I feel Lloyd will come good. I think punting English this week is the right move. It means you can maximise points.
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 06, 2022, 02:18:12 AM
Doc is a winner down back although I feel Lloyd will come good. I think punting English this week is the right move. It means you can maximise points.
The big danger with Lloyd is his lack of 120+ scores, if he loses this ability completely those 70s become hugely detrimental to his overall average.
At 470k however I think he's a value bet and it will seal up the defence in 2 trades, that seems to be the most likely outcome I think.
I'm hearing Hewett is no certainty to play next week, English would appear a more concrete option to return. Should I be punting Hewett instead?
English also won't be back. I think looping SDK and McCartin is fine down back. Defence feels volatile and Hewett is one you probably want back in as well at some point
I'm screwed with Ridley out, De Koning stuck on the bench without the E, just about ready to give up SC this year, this news should be made public earlier.
So much fun going out of this game with all this nonsense.
Why is it that the AFL site release this info so ridiculously late? Pathetic journalism, more timely info on Twitter, I'm just about done with this circus.
Quote from: Bully on May 07, 2022, 06:51:35 PM
Why is it that the AFL site release this info so ridiculously late? Pathetic journalism, more timely info on Twitter, I'm just about done with this circus.
Was the info announced on Twitter earlier today? I saw the teams when they released and the mass changes.
It is the crappy part about risking it with a potential loophole. You leave yourself susceptible to a donut. I think a few people will be in your situation. I think a few teams will be in the same situation that you are. Or they started guys like Rosas/Callaghan on field which also looks to be a disaster.
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 07, 2022, 10:32:58 PM
Quote from: Bully on May 07, 2022, 06:51:35 PM
Why is it that the AFL site release this info so ridiculously late? Pathetic journalism, more timely info on Twitter, I'm just about done with this circus.
Was the info announced on Twitter earlier today? I saw the teams when they released and the mass changes.
It is the crappy part about risking it with a potential loophole. You leave yourself susceptible to a donut. I think a few people will be in your situation. I think a few teams will be in the same situation that you are. Or they started guys like Rosas/Callaghan on field which also looks to be a disaster.
This week has been a disaster, I think with Titch cooked & Mills throwing in a mare along with Ridley's donut & De Koning's 82 on the bench, may as well pack it in.
Titch has to go, Lloyd a good sideways. Might also trade Mills to Steele whilst I have this opportunity.
Mitchell is playing in a different role in a different system. None of the Hawks mids have produced this year. The 140 a few weeks back was so out of the blue when you look at his DT ratio and was enough to suck people in.
Mills was always going to put up a stinker, but if you thought he would be top 8 you keep him at this point. Titch is who you leverage into Steele. I'd want to see Lloyd produce again because I feel he got a lot of those points in the first and last quarter with nada in between. He may be top 10, but I have my tiers like this
Rest of season I have this
Tier 1
Stewart
Doc
Hewett
Tier 2
Crisp
Zorko
Pendles
Witherden
Sicily
Sinclair
Houston
Short - if he plays midfield he is tier 1
Hall will be up there when he comes back from injury
Lloyd could be anywhere in between right now
The two not on that list are Cumming and Dale. Cumming looked amazing today and scored a 128. He could quickly become the POD pick that sets teams apart.
If we're looking at cheapies, Luke McDonald is the guy, particularly with no Hall and Ziebell forward
Also here is the way I worked out my tiers. I feel the tier 1 guys are locked and loaded for top 6. While Stewart had a nightmare game today, he is normally consistent without the clunkers. I feel Doc and Hewett also have that extremely high floor and high ceiling with roles that produce points each week. The others will be in a battle for those final 3 spots and can maybe have some inconsistencies due to role, body or team. There is a case for all of them to be in that top tier but only 3 can make the cut. It may also not be that large a gap in scoring between all of them.
Mills was picked as trade bait, the plan was a trade down but I might hold this week if I can do something with Titch.
None of the rookies scream pick me although I might pick one if it gets me Steele.
Titch has lost me a truck load of points & cash, worst pick of the year, worse than Hall who he replaced. Mr Reliable is no longer relevant for SC.
Titch to Goldy perhaps one to consider, although I just want to fix the midfield now and will worry about the forwards later.
Did you end up grabbing McComb instead of Clark this week? Available rookies on the bubble are going to be Carroll and Hamilton. Hamilton at basement price with DPP is tempting
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 08, 2022, 12:53:18 PM
Did you end up grabbing McComb instead of Clark this week? Available rookies on the bubble are going to be Carroll and Hamilton. Hamilton at basement price with DPP is tempting
Got McComb and happy with his output, will look at those two this week, Carroll might be a trap however, Hamilton could be useful.
But just one more comment on the AFL reporting, the news Essendon had an outbreak should have been made available Saturday morning, the AFL website seems to be hours behind, zero reliability, it makes this game pure luck.
Agree on Carroll. I don't see him holding the spot for more than a couple weeks with Hewett due back
I think the news was reported on Twitter around 5.30. So way after the other game started which sucks
(https://i.imgur.com/ZEHk991.png)
Horrible week, has torpedoed my year but back on the horse I suppose.
Pretty simple this week, Dixon for Rioli, Titch to Doch, next week I'll grab a gun mid, Steele becoming obtainable which is timely. Ward to Clark a near certainty.
Both trades make sense and Steele put up an inevitable clunker which should see his price drop nicely. Doc feels like a must down back
Tim English out again, at least I made the right call there, might look at him next week.
Yup, flu this week
Looks like Hewett also likely to miss. I probably should have traded him earlier but might use him for loophole purposes again
There appears to be a bit of rookie carnage this week. Does that change your trades at all?
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 12, 2022, 07:52:47 PM
There appears to be a bit of rookie carnage this week. Does that change your trades at all?
Not really, will swing Rioli to the mids if McComb fails, Hewett can still be covered by Crisp or De Koning, the loopholes just enough coverage.
So it's looking like I won't have 600k for Steele which will make for an interesting selection next week, on the short list -
English 572k - looking like I will be 6k short due to Ward & Noddy being dropped, not a huge concern as he still has a BE of 99
Brayshaw (566k projection)- I like him but he's a high standard deviation player like Mills, probs only can carry one of this type
Petracca (566k projection) - another high standard deviation player but I'm more confident going down this path compared to Brayshaw
Bont (562k projection) - I like Bont the best as I think he may get DPP in a few weeks, I also feel he will have a monster second half as he has been relatively quiet up till now
Put a line through Bont, will be 573k, can see this going close to the wire.
Isn't the key to grab Steele in a fortnight and not next week? I think he has that 75 in rotation for two more price rises.
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 14, 2022, 04:21:16 AM
Isn't the key to grab Steele in a fortnight and not next week? I think he has that 75 in rotation for two more price rises.
Noddy to Clark, Ward to mid was the plan but like most of my plans this year everything gets scuttled by omissions or dud outings.
Steele would be super and my clear number 1 choice but it would have to be in a fortnight as I will only have 566k. The 10k lost on Noddy & Ward now becomes a game changer.
I could go Steele in 2 weeks but I think I want to get this done in 2 trades and next week, still have room for Steele with the last mid position.
What if you dumped Butters next week in a correction trade and then looked to bring in English the week after by going one up and one down?
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 14, 2022, 10:52:51 AM
What if you dumped Butters next week in a correction trade and then looked to bring in English the week after by going one up and one down?
To be honest I'm at peace with Butters, I see him as a KP forward in midfielders clothing, someone who can be a weapon at F7.
He's the type you go sniffing for late in the season.
I may even offload one of McCartin or De Koning but I had planned to keep them over the bye period.
Hopefully one of Petracca or Brayshaw is still in the frame, otherwise I'll have to make further scarifices or perhaps go double down next week and grab Buku.
English to miss again next week! What a disaster he has been over the last month
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 14, 2022, 12:43:53 PM
English to miss again next week! What a disaster he has been over the last month
Yeah, plenty still holding, it's always a difficult call when you are dealing with the top ranked forward. He's still on my radar but after the byes I think.
I have 1 hour to decide whether to reverse my Rioli trade and grab the cheaper Hamilton but gut says grab Rioli who will score better over the byes.
Quote from: Bully on May 14, 2022, 12:46:43 PM
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 14, 2022, 12:43:53 PM
English to miss again next week! What a disaster he has been over the last month
Yeah, plenty still holding, it's always a difficult call when you are dealing with the top ranked forward. He's still on my radar but after the byes I think.
I have 1 hour to decide whether to reverse my Rioli trade
and grab the cheaper Hamilton but gut says grab Rioli who will score better over the byes.
Mate I am going through the exact same dilemma, who is due to come back in the coming weeks for GWS and could push Hamilton out?
Job security is going to have to help make my decision
Quote from: Dmoney$ on May 14, 2022, 12:59:44 PM
Quote from: Bully on May 14, 2022, 12:46:43 PM
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 14, 2022, 12:43:53 PM
English to miss again next week! What a disaster he has been over the last month
Yeah, plenty still holding, it's always a difficult call when you are dealing with the top ranked forward. He's still on my radar but after the byes I think.
I have 1 hour to decide whether to reverse my Rioli trade
and grab the cheaper Hamilton but gut says grab Rioli who will score better over the byes.
Mate I am going through the exact same dilemma, who is due to come back in the coming weeks for GWS and could push Hamilton out?
Job security is going to have to help make my decision
GWS are unpredictable when it comes to rookies, I think Rioli Jnr has cemented his spot, particularly with Dan Rioli moving back.
The extra preseason also a factor, he looks AFL ready which means he'll be a stayer as the season progresses, good swingman to have.
I went with Hamilton due to his role. I have been burnt all year picking small forwards. It's a volatile position. You can't trust them on field and the cash gen can stop real quickly. Hamilton has been playing at HB which means easier touches and hopefully a higher floor
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 14, 2022, 01:57:02 PM
I went with Hamilton due to his role. I have been burnt all year picking small forwards. It's a volatile position. You can't trust them on field and the cash gen can stop real quickly. Hamilton has been playing at HB which means easier touches and hopefully a higher floor
Fair enough, it's a tight call but I like MJ's chances of longevity at tad bit more, so much so I'm willing to give up my chances of securing Bont next week.
Could be genius or could be my worst decision of the year, just have to wait and see.
Not looking good early days, oh dear!
Butters spending stupid amounts of time on the bench again, I'm convinced his performance is more about the coaching to be honest.
Well, what can I say? Rioli has made a fool out of me, this season just gets worse & worse.
Just going over my 50/50 screw ups this year, it's been one disaster after the other, MJ another to add to the list.
Hall over Docherty
Titch over anyone
holding English for 2 weeks
Butters over Heeney
I think it's fair to say I have the Minus Touch, given my season is now officially shot to bits I'll challenge myself to break any player in the league.
Look out for next week & don't get the player I select!!!
Relton Roberts MKII
My bad, I feel like an idiot but 7 is something I never anticipated, a 30 or 40, perfectly acceptable but that is trash of the highest order.
Too late for a rage trade and I'll console myself given he made a quick 50k, the score onfield as I didn't take the 40 from McComb.
There are times when you want to scream and smash things but that happened last week so I'm all out of rage, just numb marveling at my ability to break players.
Not Robinson Crusoe there. I had him on field for his 7 points. Should have taken McCombs 41.
Quote from: Ringo on May 14, 2022, 05:37:55 PM
Not Robinson Crusoe there. I had him on field for his 7 points. Should have taken McCombs 41.
Think you have to roll the dice with 40 scores, I'm not sure I would change my loophole parameters, I'm more angry about not taking Hamilton.
Steele out with a shoulder injury, will be insanely cheap now.
Quote from: Bully on May 14, 2022, 04:01:16 PM
Just going over my 50/50 screw ups this year, it's been one disaster after the other, MJ another to add to the list.
Hall over Docherty
Titch over anyone
holding English for 2 weeks
Butters over Heeney
I think it's fair to say I have the Minus Touch, given my season is now officially shot to bits I'll challenge myself to break any player in the league.
Look out for next week & don't get the player I select!!!
A lot of these guys had viable reasons to pick them. Hall scored 70 before getting injured. Injury was always the risk and it was unfortunate.
Mitchell has been so consistent over the years and had back to back tons. His role has changed and this has seen his scores dip.
There are teams that still have English so the fact you started him, didn't burn a trade from Gawn and then managed to get rid of him somewhat early is a win
Butters is the weird one. His scores dipped after Powell-Pepper cleaned him up. I wonder if he is playing through something and this is why he is seeing more time on the bench. It could also be who he is as a player. Someone with a monster ceiling that is inconsistent from game to game and will give you these 50's every few weeks. I didn't expect Heeney to be as good as he has been, he has been kicking bags every week, but it looks like he is starting to come back down to the mean.
Quote from: Ringo on May 14, 2022, 05:37:55 PM
Not Robinson Crusoe there. I had him on field for his 7 points. Should have taken McCombs 41.
Ouch, that score on field would sting. You had to take the risk over a 40 on field. I think 60 is the cut off. It can back fire, but more often than not you should make up ground. Rioli should make some quick cash this week and will stagnate until that score comes out of his rotation. It's the unfortunate thing with small forwards. A lot of people will have been burnt with Rosas/Durdin/W. Rioli etc. putting up these clunkers.
Quote from: Bully on May 14, 2022, 06:00:38 PM
Steele out with a shoulder injury, will be insanely cheap now.
It looked like he was struggling to life it. I would expect him to play through whatever it is for the season, it's the kind of player he is. It really didn't look good when you watch the tackle back. But how much it hurts his scoring we will find out. I'd probably hold off for the time being, I copped it with Houston last year who wasn't the same after the knock in the Blues game.
Cheers for the positivity Matt, still stings having another virtual donut, 2 weeks running now but at least I don't have Steele to worry about.
Think I will probably grab Bont next week regardless, might shift SDK or McCartin to get it over the line.
SDK scored enough but I'm scared there will be another late withdrawl, I'll go for it anyway because whatever I do will be the wrong call no doubt.
(https://i.imgur.com/hgQdlSr.png)
Par week, 7 from Rioli & Gawn captain stuffed things up a tad. All the mids in the frame passed their projection with the exception of Brayshaw so he's the man of the moment.
I could grab Bont or Petracca if I sell McCartin or SDK but I think they are a hold with the byes coming up.
My concerns with Brayshaw? He's a wild ride, plenty of sub 100 scores but a huge ceiling, I suppose he's cut from the same cloth as Petracca, I expect a 113 season from Andy & a 116 season from Trac, not a huge difference.
Team needs one last mid but that seems a couple of weeks away, I really like Laird for that final position, you can relax knowing he will hit the ton 90% of the time.
I heard Brayshaw copped a knock in that game. He can score points in bunches and I also have him. I think he should be a pretty good pick.
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 16, 2022, 07:41:01 PM
I heard Brayshaw copped a knock in that game. He can score points in bunches and I also have him. I think he should be a pretty good pick.
How's his TOG? This concerned me last season as he seemed to be benched an awful lot. Aside from that he's got a great bye so you can sideways if necessary in round 14.
Quote from: Bully on May 16, 2022, 07:59:29 PM
How's his TOG? This concerned me last season as he seemed to be benched an awful lot. Aside from that he's got a great bye so you can sideways if necessary in round 14.
Meh. Few games in the low to mid 80's a bunch in the 70's
Wholesale changes at GWS, will be interesting to see how Coniglio goes with a bit more freedom, Hamilton out makes my Rioli call OK in hindsight.
Cogs names on the ball looks good. N.Martin leaving this week for me then.
Quote from: Carn on May 19, 2022, 07:40:04 PM
Cogs names on the ball looks good. N.Martin leaving this week for me then.
Given he won't be around for the first bye I think it's ok to trade him, particularly if you are bringing in a player averaging 115.
Speaking of Bombers, Zach Merrett might be a very shrewd buy in round 13, either De Koning or McCartin could get that done for an additional 150k
Boak is another who could come cheap, another potential easy upgrade, just need to be wary of role.
Hamilton will at least provide a handy loophole with Hough possibly back in to the team.
Cogs should hopefully have a good game but I don't know how much of a difference the changes will make
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 19, 2022, 10:38:47 PM
Hamilton will at least provide a handy loophole with Hough possibly back in to the team.
Cogs should hopefully have a good game but I don't know how much of a difference the changes will make
Hough back is timely, should be 200k and a nice downgrade when his bye rolls around.
(https://i.imgur.com/KwiaAqB.png)
Not too bad a week but seem to be losing ground fast so if there's to be any comeback it needs to come in the next month.
Byes look ok for now & I'm planning for Bont to get his DPP status, I think that's a foregone conclusion. Now is the time to get him in.
So if all goes to plan, I will swing him to F6 in round 12 & then look at Merrett or even Titch god forbid, for a temporary stop gap at M8.
I think teams will run very deep this year, having a quality M9 might be decisive, that's why I'm open to grabbing a fallen mid.
Is this after trades Bully. Nice set up. Tend to agree with you on teams running deep with quality benches. The extra 5 trades helped this year. I wanted Bont as well but the dreaded Rd 13 byes a real issue so opted for Petracca and hope Bont does not increase too much over the next 2 rounds.
I think I'm with you on Bont. Looking at your team you only need 1 more upgrade and you have a full squad with Preuss, Cogs, Butters, Gresh and Ridley the potential 'weak links'. Right now the only two I would probably consider trading at some point are Gresh to English and Ridley to Stewart. All the others look like they will be ball park top end scorers.
Quote from: Ringo on May 24, 2022, 08:56:59 PM
Is this after trades Bully. Nice set up. Tend to agree with you on teams running deep with quality benches. The extra 5 trades helped this year. I wanted Bont as well but the dreaded Rd 13 byes a real issue so opted for Petracca and hope Bont does not increase too much over the next 2 rounds.
Yeah, that's after trades, just need to see if I need reinforcements for next week, at the moment have 18 but there's always drama around this time of year.
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 24, 2022, 09:19:04 PM
I think I'm with you on Bont. Looking at your team you only need 1 more upgrade and you have a full squad with Preuss, Cogs, Butters, Gresh and Ridley the potential 'weak links'. Right now the only two I would probably consider trading at some point are Gresh to English and Ridley to Stewart. All the others look like they will be ball park top end scorers.
I agree with that but I will be building on the likes of De Koning rather than selling the mid pricers, Gresham also looks a good F7/M9.
Depth will be the key this year, rookies on the scarce side, I also think loops will play a role, particularly with guys like Butters being in most teams.
English might be eased in, might not be the must-have he was at the beginning of the year, he's definitely on the watch list for round 14.
Bailey Smith another to consider, although I shudder to think what a covid outbreak could do to my chances in the run home.
I think those guys I mentioned are more luxury trades once you felt you had a complete team.
Quote from: Mat0369 on May 24, 2022, 10:01:29 PM
I think those guys I mentioned are more luxury trades once you felt you had a complete team.
With Steele out I also reckon Gresham might nudge 100, 6 tons already this year, he's still a chance for a top 6 spot. Maybe lacks a top end game to boost the numbers.
Aside from Parker I don't feel I'm missing anyone, Heeney seems to be edging back to his long run average of 95.
(https://i.imgur.com/BTYSVWp.png)
With Hayes in serious doubt will have to fix a potential donut, English seems the obvious choice.
I've gone with Williams as the loophole guy, WC play plenty of late games and there's an outside chance he gets some games at the end of the year,
Miss out on Bont for a second week running, will see what I can do next week.
Having gone over the bye schedule, Hayes really isn't a loss, only useful in round 14 and that's too late given most teams will be upgraded by that stage.
Hayes out would be an interesting move for Port. They would run without a real ruck against a potential Draper/Phillips combo.
I like English in since you get a forward keeper with some DPP magic once the byes are over
(https://i.imgur.com/l6wyLVg.png)
Still stagnating, I think due to captain's choices, can't take a trick this year, really missing the days of Grawndy but I suppose Neale really should be the set & forget.
So the plan for the byes is pretty simple, I've decided to sell Preuss because Flynn was giving pressers which usually indicates preferential treatment in the eyes of the coach. Too risky to hold in my opinion.
English comes in & that frees things up for a big play at Merrett next week. I'm thinking McComb to Owens, Rosas to Uwland (m/d link) & Clark to Merrett.
The following week I'll look at offloading the worst performing m/f out of Gresham/Coniglio/Butters and bring in Witts/Darcy via English.
The final thing left to do is get McCartin up to Sinclair/Stewart, Ridley needs to be moved to D7.
(https://i.imgur.com/SrxLIxE.png)
Slight adjustment, Comben turned out some solid form in the VFL so I'm rolling the dice on the slightlier more expensive ruck/forward.
Can't say with any certainty he will get a run of games but the pressure is mounting on Xerri in the role of deep forward, Goldy will stay rucking in the short term I would think.
Not a bad move with Comben hope it works for you.Uwland will be your floating donut if Comben plays, With the cash you have trades look sound.
Quote from: Ringo on May 31, 2022, 08:39:05 PM
Not a bad move with Comben hope it works for you.Uwland will be your floating donut if Comben plays, With the cash you have trades look sound.
Cheers, once Merrett is in there I think the team will be competitive and close to fully upgraded, perhaps missing a top ruck. Darcy interests me but he has the awkward bye, can possibly wait a week on that one, depends on my numbers for round 14.
Comben has a leg fracture and will be out for 6 weeks.
Darcy is a great pick, has the same bye as Gawn but he had a monster second half to last year. He is injury prone so I would want a trade or two up my sleeve in case of emergency
Quote from: Mat0369 on June 01, 2022, 01:07:43 AM
Comben has a leg fracture and will be out for 6 weeks.
Darcy is a great pick, has the same bye as Gawn but he had a monster second half to last year. He is injury prone so I would want a trade or two up my sleeve in case of emergency
Really!
Back to the drawing board.
Think I'll revert back to Williams, he plays late so is the perfect candidate for looping and emergency line switching.
I thought about going early on Owens but McComb isn't worth trading with a BE of 6, next week will be his day.
Losing Hayes is slightly annoying as I'm down a ruck next week but that will be compensated by Merrett's inclusion. should have 19 playing.
Brynn Teakle has the DPP, might go down this path to save an extra 15k, might come in handy next week.
Haven't sat down and done all the sums but I may be able to grab Parish instead of Merrett, Iet's just wait and see, will be down the wire.
(https://i.imgur.com/25rGmGR.png)
Yet another bum captain's choice, Neale no good as perma captain, I understood the tagging fears but the last time that became an issue Neale scored 187, I'm completely at a loss now.
Anyhow, moving onto next week it's between Parish, Walsh & Merrett & I'm going with Parish who is a statistical leader in most categories for the onballers, nice ceiling & I suspect he'll deliver a monster score sometime in the next month.
Merrett & Walsh are also great picks but I think I'll aim for a top 8 midfielder, especially considering my team is close to completion. I think I can still grab Witts & Stewart with the last remaining rookies.
I've opened the midfield so I can use McCartin as the back-up guy if I cop an injury, that position soon will become Stewart with Ridley moving to the bench.
Rank around 7k, very poor for this time of year but let's see if I can come home strong.
16 'premiums' and a full squad seems like a dream for this week. You are likely to fly up the rankings. I think a lot of sides are going to be on the cusp of just fielding 18 players, so you're in a good spot.
Quote from: Mat0369 on June 06, 2022, 10:26:19 PM
16 'premiums' and a full squad seems like a dream for this week. You are likely to fly up the rankings. I think a lot of sides are going to be on the cusp of just fielding 18 players, so you're in a good spot.
Hope so, could do with a good week, 2000 would be nice.
Parish vs Walsh
Anything to add?
I have Parish already and I traded Walsh in this week.
The only worry I have with Walsh is that Carlton have lot of mouths to feed. Doc, Hewett, Walsh and Cripps are all averaging big numbers. Saad is also around the ton mark. It may not be too dissimilar to the Dogs and their mids, but you may get a stretch of meh weeks where he scores okay but not terrible. He is a star and I would expect a couple of monsters to make up for any down scores. If he didn't injure his ankle there was a high chance I would have started with him
Parish I really liked heading into the season based on his midfield move last year. I feel he isn't as damaging this year because he was putting up monster scores last year and had a great ratio. He may be the now Tom Mitchell where he just accumulates and scores on sheer volume.
Quote from: Mat0369 on June 07, 2022, 01:16:48 AM
I have Parish already and I traded Walsh in this week.
The only worry I have with Walsh is that Carlton have lot of mouths to feed. Doc, Hewett, Walsh and Cripps are all averaging big numbers. Saad is also around the ton mark. It may not be too dissimilar to the Dogs and their mids, but you may get a stretch of meh weeks where he scores okay but not terrible. He is a star and I would expect a couple of monsters to make up for any down scores. If he didn't injure his ankle there was a high chance I would have started with him
Parish I really liked heading into the season based on his midfield move last year. I feel he isn't as damaging this year because he was putting up monster scores last year and had a great ratio. He may be the now Tom Mitchell where he just accumulates and scores on sheer volume.
I think it's also because Essendon look like a rabble, the fact they aren't winning will no doubt be costing him points, his contested game & clearance numbers cannot be faulted.
The draw for the next 8 weeks looks a bit better from a Bombers perspective, I can see 3-4 wins which should translate to a 120+ average.
Carlton (107)
St Kilda (112)
West Coast (136)
Sydney (109)
Brisbane (110)
Gold Coast (112)
Collingwood (133))
Kangas (152 & 138)
That's a pretty sweet draw, a couple of easy beats in Kangas & West Coast, no gremlins although I would be cautious of the GWS game in round 21 despite De Boer not playing his customary tagging role.
(https://i.imgur.com/4d0Y1XQ.png)
With MacDonald dropped I was forced to grab Clarke which hasn't been too bad, pretty solid debut & I reckon between him & MRJ you'll get one playing each week.
That extra 17k put me out of the running for Parish, not the end of the world & I'll look at the mids next week, Laird comes right into consideration too.
I've opted for Darcy, very awkward bye but I'm good for coverage next week so I think it's an ok move, Meek being dropped makes him a viable VC candidate.
You're going to have some great coverage while the cupboard is bare for a lot of others
Quote from: Mat0369 on June 10, 2022, 02:25:47 PM
You're going to have some great coverage while the cupboard is bare for a lot of others
I'm reasonably happy with the depth, Darcy risky but every time Meek plays I'll move him to the bench & loop where possible.
I think the key from here will be to build on Clark & McCartin, I'll need to play it smart with only 6 trades left but turning those two into prems will leave me well placed on all lines.
One of the other reasons I held off on the midfield was to give Petracca another game to mull over, if he's 480k he might be a good trade in when I upgrade Clark.
(https://i.imgur.com/7mnHbgn.png)
A decent week, moved up to 4k so edging closer to triple figures, this week critical to maintain a bit of momentum.
Now I'm in the position of being able to do nothing on the trade front, or look at a way to get myself 16 prems on the park.
The obvious angle is the bye players, I'm not convinced Brodie can maintain his form either, Fyfe will steal his clearances in all likelihood.
I don't believe this will come back to haunt me, I'd rather Parker or Libba in any case, easy fix down the road.
Laird is the bankable guy I'm looking for, ditto Witts & I do believe the docs were assessing Darcy's knee on the weekend, too risky to hold.
With 3 trades remaining I'm holding for a month, hopefully that coincides with Steele returning because he will surely impact on Gresham's output.
The team looks pretty good. The fact you still have McCartin as cover/cash gen is an even bigger bonus. Laird is one that just racks it up each and every week. Super dependable and a strong choice. I would probably hold Darcy, especially with the Gawn situation. He didn't look right at the end of the game and very well could have to go next week.
Quote from: Mat0369 on June 13, 2022, 10:10:26 PM
The team looks pretty good. The fact you still have McCartin as cover/cash gen is an even bigger bonus. Laird is one that just racks it up each and every week. Super dependable and a strong choice. I would probably hold Darcy, especially with the Gawn situation. He didn't look right at the end of the game and very well could have to go next week.
That's ok, will trade the sickest ruck I suppose, can hold Darcy no problems. I just hope he doesn't fall mid match, that's the risk.
Gawn in a moonboot, I'm bailing, will keep Darcy instead.
Gawn out a month according to the headline on the AFL site. Probably have to trade him.
Quote from: Mat0369 on June 15, 2022, 04:08:21 PM
Gawn out a month according to the headline on the AFL site. Probably have to trade him.
No brainer, especially with the bye next week.
(https://i.imgur.com/AwHJrj3.png)
So this is what I'm thinking, Bazzo makes Paddy useful on two lines so he might well be a keeper, which means I can build on Clark to a high standard deviation guy like Petracca with my final trades.
That leaves me with only one long term injury trade but pretty good cover on all lines, if they start dropping after that then dems da breaks.
Teakle named this week, I'm pleased I jumped on early, rucks looking really strong despite the loss of Gawn.
Bit of an internet stir about trading Brodie so I figured I would give you some of my rationale.
Brodie's dream team scores & SC scores are in marked contrast, usually with his SC scores being substantially higher. This is in part due to clearances which will no doubt fall with Fyfe in the centre square.
Given Brodie only registered 1 clearance last week his score plummeted, although this was also due to DE, I think the clearances should ring some alarm bells.
Small sample size granted, but given Brodie is now more expensive than Parker & Libba the risk is minimal because either of those two can do the job & perhaps do it better.
The fact that Brodie always spends extended time on the bench could see him throw in the odd mare or two, I'm surprised it hasn't happened already to be honest.
If people are using Brodie to grab a 115 guy then that's a 10 point improvement plus you get the additional game, this also assumes Brodie will continue with his 105 average.
Finally, I wouldn't even rule him out with my final upgrade, he's still a candidate but being fully priced I think it's prudent to shift those funds into a safe haven like Laird.
(https://i.imgur.com/oUh3qHi.png)
Pretty good bye campaign, ranked around the 2k mark so moving in the right direction, happy with the team, although trades now become precious.
Butters is the big concern, 2 weeks not overly long but I'm wondering if it's a good move to grab the 6th ranked forward, make some additional cash and upgrade Ridley to Stewart next week.
How long can I survive with 1 trade? I'm thinking I should just go for it & if the holes start appearing then so be it.
McCartin could be huge in the long run. He can cover across all lines if you do cop a 1 or 2 week injury using a variety of DPP swings. I think you're in a fortunate situation and can afford to take the risk.
I think it's worth it, like you said, if I cop a hammie or concussion I can swing McCartin in there, I'm hoping my last trade survives until finals time.
My big regret is not having Parker but he requires 2 trades & I feel Heeney represents pretty good value & Stewart almost a must down back.
I was in this position last year, fell from 17 to 500 odd in the final 6 weeks so I know the risks, I went a good month with a rookie at f6 (Ginivan from memory).
The extra 5 trades have helped but it just means people upgrade quicker, luck plays a huge part from here, the winner often is tradeless in the final few rounds.
The Butters prognosis much better than I expected, could be a one week injury, but that leaves me short on $$ for the Stewart trade.
Not sure at this stage, would have to field Rioli or Clarke for a week (in addition McCartin). My other concern is Butters being eased back via the forward line, this is very Hinkley-eque.
(https://i.imgur.com/J0ImNZf.png)
Solution I think will have to be some loopholing, I'll grab a 60+ score from Rioli/Clarke, if it's horrendous I'll grab Heeney.
Can afford Stewart with any score under 120 & Ridley needs to score at least 80, these results come prior to the Heeney game so at least I'll get my cues.
In an ideal world you could hold Butters and save the trade. I think we need to use them sparingly heading into July. There will be some mass outs and coverage/trades will be a premium
Quote from: Mat0369 on June 24, 2022, 12:12:20 AM
In an ideal world you could hold Butters and save the trade. I think we need to use them sparingly heading into July. There will be some mass outs and coverage/trades will be a premium
For sure, I think I can cop a rookie score this week, it's still only June, sometimes you get caught up in the trade frenzy and forget the fact there's a truckload of footy to be played.
Still very keen on Stewart however, I'm hoping the cards fall in the right place, I'm willing to carry the remaining 2 trades right up until finals time if I can stitch him up with one trade.
Having a bad round but at least I dodged the Stewart bullet, sickened by that incident & I hope he cops 4 weeks on the sidelines, cost Richmond the points in the wash-up.
Rookies did ok, 65 & 51 not terrible considering the fact Heeney produced a mare.
Still have my 3 trades intact so I suppose a par week isn't catastrophic, Parker is coming down in price, he's on the radar, might have to build on Hough now that McCartin is throwing up sub 60 scores.
Not the only one having a mare. Hobbs and Clarke combining for 61 (35 + 26) not helping if relying on them as I am.
Quote from: Ringo on June 26, 2022, 07:32:31 AM
Not the only one having a mare. Hobbs and Clarke combining for 61 (35 + 26) not helping if relying on them as I am.
I believe English is back but Butters still uncertain, still a good chance I'll be fielding another rookie, I'm hoping Cleary finally gets the call as well, if he doesn't replace Richards then he's toast I would think.
Bugger, no English, Butters doubtful, looks like I'm going in with 2 rookies again.
Quote from: Bully on June 28, 2022, 01:39:16 PM
Bugger, no English, Butters doubtful, looks like I'm going in with 2 rookies again.
Join the club - Still contemplating whether to do Butters to Bont or a left field Butters to Liam Baker for a few $ more keeping cash for other upgrades.
English was always expected to miss the 2 weeks.
Cleary looking like a dead duck, not even an emergency, might have to save a trade to clean up that mess.
Is he injured? I haven't seen him listed on the AFL site when they do the in the mix articles. Otherwise he has had poor VFL form
Quote from: Mat0369 on June 30, 2022, 01:30:16 AM
Is he injured? I haven't seen him listed on the AFL site when they do the in the mix articles. Otherwise he has had poor VFL form
Form has been OK without blitzing, the real worry is Duryea, Richards & Daniel all out & he still can't get a game, overlooking Wehr probably my biggest mistake to date.
Poor week and the cracks are starting to appear, holding my trades for now, hopefully a full squad for next week.
(https://i.imgur.com/MU67Ag1.png)
So this is it, the final cut, zero trades left, 6 weeks to go, well, 2 weeks given I may miss finals in some of my comps.
I don't see the point in holding my trades now, I'm ranked around 4k, about 500 points off the top 1000, no man's land really, all or nothing from here.
It's been an ok year, the team on paper is how I would want my finals team to look, the mid bench looks sparse but it's been designed for looping, Rioli isn't terrible just need to catch him on a good week.
This team could come crashing down as early as next week, Oliver will be back but a couple of long term blows will cost me a swag of points, nevermind I gave it my best shot.
A big shout out to Mountalizians FC, I'll be cheering for you over the next few weeks, still in the hunt with a great looking bench, I think you can press for the money.
Bulldozers, my old sparring partner, probably slippping away from the top 5 but you never know, 80 is still an outstanding year.
A special mention to Holz, great comeback mate, not sure if you have any trades left but top 1000 beckons with any luck.
Well done to Matt & Ringo, both solid years & still time to press for top 1000.
Tyler Sonsie to debut, almost tempted to change my trades, he was one of my must-have rookies at the start of the year.
(https://i.imgur.com/D5kJA9K.png)
With Rioli dropped and Hough having DPP I've decided to switch things up, holding my last trade for now, also gives me time to look at Sonsie.
Going with Dawson, his draw is slightly better than Sinclair so might be a better POD at this stage.
Sinclair had a good game tonight but you can't go wrong with Dawson. He is a really good option and has had some monster scores before the 80 this past week. Having McCartin as coverage is huge. A lot of teams are starting to eat donuts and you have McCartin who can cover all three lines if necessary. I'd maybe set up the loop from now and swing Mountford into defence for Crisp and use Crisp to cover Oliver. That way if McCartin scores well you can take his score using Mountford and if he stinks it up you can swing him with Hough
Quote from: Mat0369 on July 16, 2022, 01:36:58 AM
Sinclair had a good game tonight but you can't go wrong with Dawson. He is a really good option and has had some monster scores before the 80 this past week. Having McCartin as coverage is huge. A lot of teams are starting to eat donuts and you have McCartin who can cover all three lines if necessary. I'd maybe set up the loop from now and swing Mountford into defence for Crisp and use Crisp to cover Oliver. That way if McCartin scores well you can take his score using Mountford and if he stinks it up you can swing him with Hough
Yep, precisely, if McCartin fails I'll pop Hough in there.