FanFooty   FanFooty
Australian Rules
Fantasy Football
FANTASY BLOG
 

Upgrade analysis: Forwards

by dreamteamhero.com.au | May 31st, 2007 | Comments : [16] | Categories: Trade advice.

(You may want to read the overall strategy reasoning before continuing)

High up in the thinking is Nathan G Brown, who’s retailing at $236k. An in-form Brown is a bargain at that price, but with sooo many injury worries, is it worth the risk? Of course, we’ll come back to this question if and when he plays. But when planning your forward-line strategy, don’t forget about Browny.

Best cheap rookies:

Fergus Watts ($94k): Given this bloke’s history of injuries, and St Kilda’s run of outs in that respect so far this season, you’d be forgiven for trying to avoid Watts. He broke his ankle after playing one game last season, and has had further worries this season. Nevertheless, is a talented key forward and likely to play this year; he’s a fourth-year player and thus has a mature body. There’s not a great deal else in the cheap forwards department, so in my opinion Watts is the best bet.

Mitch Morton ($118k): Get him this week, because he’s going to shoot up to around $150k after this week’s games. A very skilled player, and a good bet to break into the Eagles’ best 22, particularly with Mark Nicoski recovering from a shoulder injury.

Jack Riewoldt ($82k): Not sure why Jack hasn’t got a run so far this year, but he’s in there now. Didn’t do anything in his first game, but has enough experience at VFL level to reasonably expect he’ll make a go of it early on in the big league. Added to that is Richmond’s youth policy. Hopefully, Jack gets a run.

Beau Dowler ($82k): This is the bloke who was chosen before Paddy Ryder for the Hawks. He’s still feeling the effects of a pelvis injury sustained just before he was drafted, but played some games last year and should do so before the year’s end too. Not a guaranteed huge scorer, but a handy bet to get some games.

Chris Scott ($111k): Watch this one carefully. Scott is still recovering from a massive hip injury, but the Lions have got him on the list for a reason. If he’s fit, he’ll play – and if he plays, he’ll score ok. As yet, there’s no mention of him returning, but it’s one to keep your eye out for. IF he plays, that price is a bargain.

Leroy Jetta ($100k): Bit of a dark horse, and not the most reliable of choices. Small forwards rarely are – they’re inconsistent, and don’t pick up many stats. However, Jetta has already played this year, and when he recovers from a groin injury should get another run in the seniors.

Best upgrade targets:

Brad Johnson ($363k): Trust me, this is a great price for Johnson. He’s a champion Dream Teamer, who tends to play up the ground if the goals aren’t flowing, thus ensuring a good score no matter what the situation.

Matthew Pavlich ($310k): After some slow games, Pavlich is back to a rock-bottom price for a guy of his capacity. He’ll start to fire up as the Dockers regain their form, and is a great pickup at this price.

Barry Hall ($304k): Another who, like Pavlich, is simply at a rock-bottom price and shouldn’t be discounted.

Alan Didak ($280k): After scoring 80 in his first game back from injury, Didak has dropped off the pace somewhat. However, he’s a good bargain at that price, and should return to top flight (and good scores) later this season. Handy swap for a Franklin or Cloke, too, if that’s something you’re considering.

Ryan O’Keefe ($308k): Yet another rock-bottom priced forward. O’Keefe has slipped away from last year’s great form, but is worth considering as the Swans start to hop back into gear and improving their possession rates.

Jason Akermanis ($265k): Another cheapie. Aker is not the gun he once was, but he’s worth far more than this price. He’s inconsistent, but when he scores, he scores big time. Consider taking a chance - it could be the x-factor that gets you over the line in one or two matches.

 

16 Responses to “Upgrade analysis: Forwards”

Toby Says: 8:06 am, May 31st, 2007

Is Paul Chapman a good upgrade choice too?? Im currently trying to debate this one with myself…


Ari Says: 8:22 am, May 31st, 2007

Paul Chapman without injuries is one of the dream team targets because the current form geelong is in the ball is being delivered constantlly to their forward line. consider that toby.


Adam Says: 8:45 am, May 31st, 2007

How about Jonathan Brown. Very tempting for me at the moment. Probably next week but do you think he’s worth it at current prices


simon Says: 9:23 am, May 31st, 2007

With Mitch clark showing some form with his inclusion last week, Brown shouldn’t be double/tripled as much as he has been this year. Should be a good pick up


Kris Says: 12:37 pm, May 31st, 2007

And on a different topic …

Could you fix things with your server so that when you type “fanfooty.com.au” instead of “www.fanfooty.com.au” it still brings you here instead of a different site?


Papa Says: 1:39 pm, May 31st, 2007

According to the Age, Jetta has a chance of having OP, so pick him with care. If its not that bad and he comes back later in the season, then I think he’s the pick of the bargain pile.

Morton is OK, but I suspect as Kerr, Embley and Hansen role back into the team then he will one of the first to go - that’s a fair way off though. My guess is he will play 5-6 more games this season, maybe less if his form isn’t up there.


Merv Gray Says: 2:34 pm, May 31st, 2007

Mitch’s price is going to balloon, sure,but don’t hit the trade button on one of your forwards just yet… Morton’s listed as a centre. And Scotty Lucas might be worth considering. He’s down to $335k and has the second-best avg of all forwards this year.

Otherwise, I reckon the whole upgrades series has been good reading, Tom. Cheers.


Tony Says: 2:55 pm, May 31st, 2007

Do u mean Mitch Brown instead of Mitch Morton?


Tony Says: 2:56 pm, May 31st, 2007

Do u mean Mitch Brown instead of Morton?


Tom Says: 9:11 pm, May 31st, 2007

Damnit. Meant to include Lucas, must have inadvertently skipped it. Yup, Lucas is a good bet for sure - especially at this price.

Tony - nope, meant Mitch Morton. Didn’t realise he was a centre. Mitchell Brown won’t play too many games, I reckon - although Hansen’s injury may make things interesting.


LP Says: 10:50 pm, May 31st, 2007

Riewoldt senior has to be worth a look. Price is heading up (359k) but is only going to keep rising, and is clearly back in form. A consistent performer in past years and looks like he’ll keep that up.


Billy Says: 11:31 pm, May 31st, 2007

Luke Jericho’s form for the crows has been very impressive for a third gamer this year. I dont know what his position in the team will be though when the roo comes back. Any ideas?


troy Says: 7:13 am, June 1st, 2007

What about Robert Murphy when his back (should be this week) he get’s a lot of cheap marks and a few goals and will only improve after knee injury


Ed Says: 8:23 am, June 1st, 2007

Well Ricciuto was named and Jericho was dropped coming off a 96 game, I guess that says something.


Dean Says: 3:16 am, June 2nd, 2007

i just wish the crows match commitee consulted me before they dropped him, he was one of my better scorers last week and his price was due to soar even more….


JG Says: 10:39 am, June 6th, 2007

Hi there

I’m looking for some advice on upgrading my forwards to say a Stephen Johnson (having a super season and still relatively cheap) or R O’Keefe (cheap, low average but bound to bounce back). To do this, I’m thinking of downgrading Darcy and/or upgrading one of Alwyn Davey, A Edwards or N Ablett.

So, my questions are:
1. I could only upgrade to S Johnson if I downgraded Darcy, is it worth using 2 trades to achieve this and have some cash in reserve. Oherwise I go with O’Keefe with only one trade (don’t trade Darcy) and have less $$$ in the bank.
2. Who should I trade out of Davey, N Ablett and Edwards as all are averaging around the same and are similarly priced???




 

© FanFooty blog 2008.